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Should I ship a Procedural Generation Solitaire game?
Procedural Generation + Solitaire
Only 15 developers shipped a Procedural Generation Solitaire game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Deckbane, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $360, ×0.8 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $3.5k, ×7.6 the market median. Revenue is up 45% on the market; 28 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $178 (exactly $178) |
|---|---|
| Median | $359 (exactly $359) |
| Top 25% | $1.7k (exactly $1,678) |
| Top 5% | $3.6k (exactly $3,596) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 15 |
| Released games | 55 |
| Announced | 28 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 45% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Procedural Generation
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Solitaire
- effort 1 / 10 · high · fixed rules, cards and a table
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Procedural Generation, Solitaire
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 76% positive over 88 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Procedural Generation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SnowFair
- + Traditional RoguelikeFair
- + DetectiveFair
- + Word GameFair
- + TypingFair
- + IdlerFair
- + LogicFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Precision PlatformerFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + TrainsPoor odds
Comparable games
Roll 2021 · $61k 
Photogenic Minds : Identity 2022 · $53k 
Minesweeper: Collector 2020 · $32k 
Dissembler 2018 · $16k 
Forests, Fields and Fortresses 2023 · $7.3k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Roll | older | $4.99 | 407 91% | 12k | $61k (exactly $60,928) | Joseph Distler |
| | Photogenic Minds : Identity | older | $19.99 | 89 88% | 2.7k | $53k (exactly $53,373) | 727 Not Hound |
| | Minesweeper: Collector | older | $7.99 | 132 88% | 4.0k | $32k (exactly $31,640) | Anton Kryukov |
| | Dissembler | older | $4.99 | 110 90% | 3.3k | $16k (exactly $16,467) | Ian MacLarty |
| | Forests, Fields and Fortresses | older | $4.99 | 49 93% | 1.5k | $7.3k (exactly $7,335) | 9 Eyes Game Studio |
 | MAZAICA | older | $2.99 | 59 71% | 1.8k | $5.3k (exactly $5,292) | Hamster On Coke Games |
 | Hexle | older | $5.99 | 29 96% | 870 | $5.2k (exactly $5,211) | PUNKCAKE Délicieux |
 | Liquidum | older | $4.99 | 34 91% | 1.0k | $5.1k (exactly $5,090) | Marvellous Soft |
 | Army of Numbers | older | $1.99 | 85 92% | 2.6k | $5.1k (exactly $5,074) | maou |
 | 808s&Genetics | older | $1.99 | 72 97% | 2.2k | $4.3k (exactly $4,298) | Magnesiumteng Machine |
 | Deckbane | $9.99 | 12 66% | 360 | $3.6k (exactly $3,596) | Soong | |
 | Card Rogue | $4.99 | 22 63% | 660 | $3.3k (exactly $3,293) | Game Tsukuru Kun | |
 | Fortiori | $8.40 | 9 100% | 270 | $2.3k (exactly $2,268) | 79GAMES | |
 | Aeternum Grand Plaza | $7.99 | 7 85% | 210 | $1.7k (exactly $1,678) | BD STUDIO | |
 | Fish Box | $4.99 | 8 62% | 240 | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) | DoXMo | |
 | IF Solitaire | $0.99 | 19 84% | 570 | $564 (exactly $564) | Idea4Fun Studio | |
 | Another Round | $4.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $449 (exactly $449) | Triple Eye Games | |
 | Rotminers: Escape or Die | $2.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $359 (exactly $359) | X1 Studio | |
 | Solitaire of Stygian Shadows | $9.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | Māris Ozols | |
 | How Can a Joker Like Me Play Cards with a Beautiful Girl | $2.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $269 (exactly $269) | 可布和常常诶 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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