Do I ship it?

GamesProcedural GenerationProcedural Generation + Score Attack

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Procedural Generation Score Attack game?

Procedural Generation + Score Attack

Of 189 developers who shipped a Procedural Generation Score Attack game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 233 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $420 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 4 / 10 build. 128 developers shipped in the last year and 233 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 233 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Procedural Generation + Score Attack
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 189
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $359 → $1.2k → $1.2k → $1.3k → $479 → $539 → $356 (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Procedural Generation + Score Attack: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 189
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $299 (exactly $299)
Top 25% $1.9k (exactly $1,946)
Top 5% $79k (exactly $78,821)
Developers, 2 yr 189
Released games 470
Announced 233
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 105% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Procedural Generation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Score Attack
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Procedural Generation, Score Attack; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Arcade, Roguelike
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 69,032 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $300, 1 in 4 over $1.9k, 1 in 20 over $78k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 9 in 10 of the 68 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 233 games are announced against 128 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Procedural Generation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SnowFair11 devs · median $3.0k · 16 announced
  2. + Traditional RoguelikeFair71 devs · median $2.0k · 93 announced
  3. + DetectiveFair29 devs · median $1.5k · 30 announced
  4. + Word GameFair22 devs · median $1.3k · 23 announced
  5. + TypingFair26 devs · median $1.1k · 11 announced
  6. + IdlerFair98 devs · median $807 · 107 announced
  7. + LogicFair137 devs · median $478 · 149 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair57 devs · median $449 · 62 announced
  9. + Precision PlatformerFair49 devs · median $449 · 42 announced
  10. + Hidden ObjectFair58 devs · median $418 · 56 announced
  11. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds31 devs · median $77k · 95 announced
  12. + TrainsPoor odds22 devs · median $30k · 35 announced

All 222 pairs on the Procedural Generation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor $12.99 46,354 86% 1.4M $18M (exactly $18,064,154) Funday Games
White Knuckle · EA $16.99 13,356 98% 401k $6.8M (exactly $6,807,553) Dark Machine Games
AudioSurf older $9.99 8,901 95% 267k $2.7M (exactly $2,667,630) Dylan Fitterer
ISLANDERS older $4.99 16,104 94% 483k $2.4M (exactly $2,410,769) Coatsink, GrizzlyGames, Stage Clear Stu… (Coatsink, GrizzlyGames, Stage Clear Studios)
Superflight older $2.99 11,047 96% 331k $991k (exactly $990,916) GrizzlyGames
Post Void older $2.99 10,806 97% 324k $969k (exactly $969,298) YCJY Games
Revita older $16.99 1,734 83% 52k $884k (exactly $883,820) BenStar
Glyphica: Typing Survival · EA $9.99 2,488 90% 75k $746k (exactly $745,654) aliasBLACK
FatalZone $6.99 2,125 66% 64k $446k (exactly $445,612) Midhard Games
ISLANDERS: New Shores $9.99 1,230 96% 37k $369k (exactly $368,631) The Station
Funguys Swarm $9.99 1,114 89% 33k $334k (exactly $333,866) Stairway Games
Cursed Words: The Word Game That Isn't $14.99 698 95% 21k $314k (exactly $313,891) Buried Things
Bingle Bingle $14.99 666 80% 20k $300k (exactly $299,500) Knitting Games
Sodaman $7.99 738 78% 22k $177k (exactly $176,899) Tape Corps
TOP DOG $9.99 263 88% 7.9k $79k (exactly $78,821) MorfeoDev

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.