Do I ship it?

Games › Procedural Generation › Procedural Generation + Romance

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Romance Procedural Generation game?

Procedural Generation + Romance

Only 11 developers shipped a Romance Procedural Generation game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Kitty Powers' Matchmaker Makeover, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.3k, ×13 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.4k; 1 in 20 cleared $96k, ×203 the market median. Revenue is up 860% on the market; 15 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 13.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 860% on the market, 15 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Procedural Generation + Romance
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.5k → $11k → $2.5k → $13k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Procedural Generation + Romance: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $2.4k (exactly $2,397)
Median $6.3k (exactly $6,296)
Top 25% $49k (exactly $48,712)
Top 5% $97k (exactly $96,531)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 32
Announced 15
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 860% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Procedural Generation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Romance
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Procedural Generation
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 657 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.4k, median $6.3k, 1 in 4 over $48k, 1 in 20 over $96k.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.4k. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Procedural Generation with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SnowFair11 devs · median $3.0k · 16 announced
  2. + Traditional RoguelikeFair71 devs · median $2.0k · 93 announced
  3. + DetectiveFair29 devs · median $1.5k · 30 announced
  4. + Word GameFair22 devs · median $1.3k · 23 announced
  5. + TypingFair26 devs · median $1.1k · 11 announced
  6. + IdlerFair98 devs · median $807 · 107 announced
  7. + LogicFair137 devs · median $478 · 149 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair57 devs · median $449 · 62 announced
  9. + Precision PlatformerFair49 devs · median $449 · 42 announced
  10. + Hidden ObjectFair58 devs · median $418 · 56 announced
  11. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds31 devs · median $77k · 95 announced
  12. + TrainsPoor odds22 devs · median $30k · 35 announced

All 222 pairs on the Procedural Generation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Fabledom 2024 · $4.3M Lakeburg Legacies 2023 · $1.1M Kitty Powers' Matchmaker 2015 · $533k Love Love School Days 2023 · $192k Dungeon Dreams 2 2024 · $125k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Fabledom older $20.99 6,772 85% 203k $4.3M (exactly $4,264,328) Grenaa Games
Lakeburg Legacies older $27.58 1,302 71% 39k $1.1M (exactly $1,077,275) Ishtar Games
Kitty Powers' Matchmaker older $9.99 1,779 96% 53k $533k (exactly $533,166) Magic Notion Ltd
Love Love School Days older $5.99 1,067 95% 32k $192k (exactly $191,740) OTL GAME
Dungeon Dreams 2 older $19.99 209 90% 6.3k $125k (exactly $125,337) DDreams Games
Wanna Make It older $10.99 293 97% 8.8k $97k (exactly $96,602) CQGAME
Kitty Powers' Matchmaker Makeover $13.99 230 98% 6.9k $97k (exactly $96,531) Magic Notion Ltd
Cumrooms $11.99 166 86% 5.0k $60k (exactly $59,710) Moon Loom Studio
Call of Boba · EA $12.99 125 67% 3.8k $49k (exactly $48,712) Tomatoast, Tomatoast
Sudoku RPG older $2.99 321 82% 9.6k $29k (exactly $28,794) RainbowStudio
Femme Fatality $7.99 66 89% 2.0k $16k (exactly $15,820) Jeistar
Architecture & Design · EA $14.99 30 90% 900 $13k (exactly $13,491) Crispytecture Games
Monster Lily $14.99 14 100% 420 $6.3k (exactly $6,296) Kasha Club
Dating App Simulator $5.99 14 85% 420 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) Oba Games
Moorage · EA $7.99 10 100% 300 $2.4k (exactly $2,397) Daedalus Studios
Daydreams $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) QuadraTron Games, Brotherly
Record of Pleasing Male Servants and Female Servants $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) TITK GAME

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.