Do I ship it?

GamesProcedural GenerationProcedural Generation + Robots

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Robot Procedural Generation game?

Procedural Generation + Robots

Of 64 developers who shipped a Robot Procedural Generation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 140 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×2.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $910k, ×1458 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 140 games are announced against 35 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 140 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Procedural Generation + Robots
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 64
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.5k → $1.3k → $1.8k → $2.7k → $14k → $3.1k → $600 (still earning) → $1.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Procedural Generation + Robots: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 64
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $1.7k (exactly $1,679)
Top 25% $20k (exactly $20,390)
Top 5% $915k (exactly $915,384)
Developers, 2 yr 64
Released games 204
Announced 140
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Procedural Generation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Robots
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Procedural Generation; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Roguelike, Action Roguelike
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Stylized
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 96% positive over 351,277 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $1.7k, 1 in 4 over $20k, 1 in 20 over $910k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 7 in 10 of the 34 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 140 games are announced against 35 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Procedural Generation with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SnowFair11 devs · median $3.0k · 16 announced
  2. + Traditional RoguelikeFair71 devs · median $2.0k · 93 announced
  3. + DetectiveFair29 devs · median $1.5k · 30 announced
  4. + Word GameFair22 devs · median $1.3k · 23 announced
  5. + TypingFair26 devs · median $1.1k · 11 announced
  6. + IdlerFair98 devs · median $807 · 107 announced
  7. + LogicFair137 devs · median $478 · 149 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair57 devs · median $449 · 62 announced
  9. + Precision PlatformerFair49 devs · median $449 · 42 announced
  10. + Hidden ObjectFair58 devs · median $418 · 56 announced
  11. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds31 devs · median $77k · 95 announced
  12. + TrainsPoor odds22 devs · median $30k · 35 announced

All 222 pairs on the Procedural Generation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
R.E.P.O. · EA $9.99 341,004 96% 10M $102M (exactly $102,198,899) semiwork
FOUNDRY · EA older $29.99 3,272 82% 98k $2.9M (exactly $2,943,818) Channel 3 Entertainment
VOID/BREAKER · EA $29.99 2,506 91% 75k $2.3M (exactly $2,254,648) Stubby Games
Mars First Logistics $19.99 3,497 94% 105k $2.1M (exactly $2,097,151) Shape Shop
Sir, You Are Being Hunted older $19.99 2,875 79% 86k $1.7M (exactly $1,724,137) Big Robot Ltd
30XX older $19.99 2,514 90% 75k $1.5M (exactly $1,507,646) Batterystaple Games
Cogmind · EA older $24.99 1,560 95% 47k $1.2M (exactly $1,169,532) Grid Sage Games
KIBORG $24.99 1,221 84% 37k $915k (exactly $915,384) Sobaka Studio
Microtopia $19.99 881 87% 26k $528k (exactly $528,336) Cordyceps Collective
Astronomics · EA $19.99 706 89% 21k $423k (exactly $423,388) Numizmatic
RAM: Random Access Mayhem $14.99 611 97% 18k $275k (exactly $274,767) Xylem Studios
Desecrators $14.99 327 96% 9.8k $147k (exactly $147,052) Woodhound
Warden's Will $14.99 304 70% 9.1k $137k (exactly $136,709) ELYZIO
Mineral Defense $14.99 220 90% 6.6k $99k (exactly $98,934) Corestone Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.