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Should I ship a Procedural Generation Rhythm game?
Procedural Generation + Rhythm
Of 28 developers who shipped a Procedural Generation Rhythm game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 40 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $300, ×0.6 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. 40 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper, while revenue is down 80% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $299 (exactly $299) |
| Top 25% | $4.8k (exactly $4,794) |
| Top 5% | $20k (exactly $19,969) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 28 |
| Released games | 101 |
| Announced | 40 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Procedural Generation
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Rhythm
- effort 3 / 10 · medium · audio sync, timing precision and music rights
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Procedural Generation, Rhythm; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action Roguelike, Arcade
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Atmospheric, Colorful
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 91% positive over 347 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 40 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Procedural Generation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SnowFair
- + Traditional RoguelikeFair
- + DetectiveFair
- + Word GameFair
- + TypingFair
- + IdlerFair
- + LogicFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Precision PlatformerFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + TrainsPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Crypt of the NecroDancer | older | $14.99 | 23,593 95% | 708k | $11M (exactly $10,609,772) | Brace Yourself Games |
| | BPM: BULLETS PER MINUTE | older | $19.99 | 9,598 91% | 288k | $5.8M (exactly $5,755,921) | Awe Interactive |
| | AudioSurf | older | $9.99 | 8,901 95% | 267k | $2.7M (exactly $2,667,630) | Dylan Fitterer |
| | Audiosurf 2 | older | $14.99 | 5,364 82% | 161k | $2.4M (exactly $2,412,191) | Dylan Fitterer |
| | Melody's Escape | older | $9.99 | 4,336 92% | 130k | $1.3M (exactly $1,299,499) | Icetesy |
| | Soundfall | older | $29.99 | 996 73% | 30k | $896k (exactly $896,101) | Drastic Games |
| | Beat Hazard 2 | older | $18.99 | 1,396 89% | 42k | $795k (exactly $795,301) | Cold Beam Games |
| | Beat Blast | older | $10.99 | 387 89% | 12k | $128k (exactly $127,594) | Woolly Walrus Games |
| | Symphony | older | $4.99 | 833 86% | 25k | $125k (exactly $124,700) | Empty Clip Studios |
| | The Land Beneath Us | older | $14.99 | 230 79% | 6.9k | $103k (exactly $103,431) | FairPlay Studios |
| | Rhythm Storm | $9.99 | 86 91% | 2.6k | $26k (exactly $25,774) | Radiangames | |
| | Nebula Flow | $17.99 | 37 97% | 1.1k | $20k (exactly $19,969) | After Nap Games | |
| | Keytamine | $7.99 | 38 81% | 1.1k | $9.1k (exactly $9,109) | Nabokov | |
| | KILLBEAT | $9.99 | 24 100% | 720 | $7.2k (exactly $7,193) | Kalma Games | |
| | Polylylyrhythm | $2.99 | 74 98% | 2.2k | $6.6k (exactly $6,638) | NamariKarte | |
| | Coinsweeper | $4.99 | 43 86% | 1.3k | $6.4k (exactly $6,437) | Duo Forge Games | |
| | Melody Friends | $7.99 | 20 100% | 600 | $4.8k (exactly $4,794) | WINE GL | |
| | Remote Control | $12.99 | 8 25% | 240 | $3.1k (exactly $3,118) | eroG Interactive | |
| | BeatChip '95 | $6.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $2.1k (exactly $2,097) | Jack The Robot Games | |
| | LightBreak | $5.99 | 7 100% | 210 | $1.3k (exactly $1,258) | Deev Interactive |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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