Do I ship it?

GamesPlatformerPlatformer + War

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a War Platformer?

Platformer + War

Only 13 developers shipped a War Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Rogue Prince of Persia, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced, ×7.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $480 against a market of $630. 30 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 30 announced, ×7.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Platformer + War
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.7k → $89 → $15k → $2.7k → $360 → $479 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Platformer + War: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $270 (exactly $270)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $4.1k (exactly $4,133)
Top 5% $2.2M (exactly $2,152,982)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 98
Announced 30
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 55% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
War
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Combat, 2D Platformer
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, 2.5D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 2,508 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $480, 1 in 4 over $4.1k, 1 in 20 over $2.1M.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 8 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimStrong odds19 devs · median $3.0k · 15 announced
  2. + PinballStrong odds10 devs · median $2.5k · 6 announced
  3. + Combat RacingFair28 devs · median $899 · 38 announced
  4. + FMVFair9 devs · median $899 · 10 announced
  5. + SimulationFair281 devs · median $628 · 235 announced
  6. + Grid-Based MovementFair23 devs · median $539 · 18 announced
  7. + AutomationFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  8. + Turn-Based TacticsLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $7.2k · 90 announced
  10. + Co-op CampaignPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $5.8k · 38 announced
  12. + SkateboardingPoor odds14 devs · median $4.8k · 23 announced

All 206 pairs on the Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Pizza Tower older $19.99 66,350 98% 2.0M $40M (exactly $39,790,095) Tour De Pizza
Valiant Hearts: The Great War™ / Soldats Inconnus : Mémoires de la Grande Guerre™ older $14.99 24,468 95% 734k $11M (exactly $11,003,260) Ubisoft Montpellier
Worms W.M.D older $29.99 10,435 85% 313k $9.4M (exactly $9,388,370) Team17
Sonic Forces older $39.99 6,742 61% 202k $8.1M (exactly $8,088,377) Sonic Team, Hardlight
The Rogue Prince of Persia $29.99 2,393 89% 72k $2.2M (exactly $2,152,982) Evil Empire
Blazing Chrome older $16.99 1,326 89% 40k $676k (exactly $675,862) JoyMasher
Super Meat Boy Forever older $4.99 1,881 58% 56k $282k (exactly $281,586) Team Meat
Valiant Hearts: Coming Home older $14.99 529 62% 16k $238k (exactly $237,891) Ubisoft Da Nang, Ubisoft Montpellier
Rise & Shine older $9.99 453 73% 14k $136k (exactly $135,764) Super Mega Team
GRAND CROSS: ReNOVATION older $14.99 138 91% 4.1k $62k (exactly $62,059) ES4 / Eternal Sphere 4
Princess Pomu and the 5 Moons $11.99 29 86% 870 $10k (exactly $10,431) Pixel Dominus
The Orc Invasion $10.99 13 92% 390 $4.3k (exactly $4,286) ATK Games
Dark Adelita $5.99 23 95% 690 $4.1k (exactly $4,133) Brain-dead Rabbit Games
Fastro Dude $9.99 13 84% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) Gamesforgames
Dangerous line $9.99 11 100% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) Gamesforgames
1989 After the War $4.99 18 94% 540 $2.7k (exactly $2,695) SEEP
Hardcore Soldier $7.99 2 100% 60 $479 (exactly $479) James H. Van der Meulen
We Don't Cry: Zombie Survival $11.99 1 0% 30 $360 (exactly $360) Bored Alchemist
Escape From Lava $1.99 5 60% 150 $298 (exactly $298) Muhammet BAYRAKCI

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.