Do I ship it?

GamesPlatformerPlatformer + Underground

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Underground Platformer?

Platformer + Underground

Of 63 developers who shipped an Underground Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 108 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×3.2 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $80k, ×170 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 108 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 108 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Platformer + Underground
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 63
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.1k → $599 → $1.2k → $748 → $3.9k → $1.7k → $60 (still earning) → $3.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Platformer + Underground: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 63
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,497)
Top 25% $5.1k (exactly $5,074)
Top 5% $81k (exactly $80,946)
Developers, 2 yr 63
Released games 213
Announced 108
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Underground
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, 3D Platformer
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, 2D, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 96% positive over 16,021 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $5.0k, 1 in 20 over $80k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 8 in 10 of the 39 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 108 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimStrong odds19 devs · median $3.0k · 15 announced
  2. + PinballStrong odds10 devs · median $2.5k · 6 announced
  3. + Combat RacingFair28 devs · median $899 · 38 announced
  4. + FMVFair9 devs · median $899 · 10 announced
  5. + SimulationFair281 devs · median $628 · 235 announced
  6. + Grid-Based MovementFair23 devs · median $539 · 18 announced
  7. + AutomationFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  8. + Turn-Based TacticsLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $7.2k · 90 announced
  10. + Co-op CampaignPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $5.8k · 38 announced
  12. + SkateboardingPoor odds14 devs · median $4.8k · 23 announced

All 206 pairs on the Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
White Knuckle · EA $16.99 13,356 98% 401k $6.8M (exactly $6,807,553) Dark Machine Games
HAAK older $17.99 3,149 89% 94k $1.7M (exactly $1,699,515) Blingame
Last Train Outta' Wormtown $11.99 1,453 96% 44k $523k (exactly $522,644) Get(Color) Games
Shadow Labyrinth $29.99 277 54% 8.3k $249k (exactly $249,217) Bandai Namco Studios Inc.
Eye of the Temple older $19.99 392 92% 12k $235k (exactly $235,082) Rune Skovbo Johansen
Ants Took My Eyeball older $12.99 248 93% 7.4k $97k (exactly $96,646) Bosmic Forge
Ad Fundum older $6.99 429 93% 13k $90k (exactly $89,961) Oldbut Gold
The Siege and the Sandfox $14.99 180 64% 5.4k $81k (exactly $80,946) Cardboard Sword
Ikarus Parkour $12.99 195 81% 5.9k $76k (exactly $75,992) Vanja Aleksić
PERFECT CELLS PROJECT older $9.99 226 79% 6.8k $68k (exactly $67,732) ShinshiMoustache
THE CANON OF BALLS $3.99 287 98% 8.6k $34k (exactly $34,354) Helios Monk
Soulbind: Tales Of The Underworld $7.99 88 73% 2.6k $21k (exactly $21,094) Rubedo Games
Antro $14.99 42 92% 1.3k $19k (exactly $18,887) Gatera Studio
Stretcher Together $4.99 116 47% 3.5k $17k (exactly $17,365) Goosix Games
Rusty Rangers $14.99 27 88% 810 $12k (exactly $12,142) Fantastica!

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.