Do I ship it?

GamesPlatformerPlatformer + Time Travel

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Time-Travel Platformer?

Platformer + Time Travel

Of 24 developers who shipped a Time-Travel Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 56 more are announced, ×8.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $89; 1 in 20 cleared $150k, ×322 the market median. Revenue is up 620% on the market; 56 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 620% on the market, 56 announced, ×8.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Platformer + Time Travel
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 24
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $839 → $7.6k → $449 → $899 → $2.5k → $119 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Platformer + Time Travel: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 24
Bottom 30% $89 (exactly $89)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $23k (exactly $22,777)
Top 5% $153k (exactly $152,920)
Developers, 2 yr 24
Released games 95
Announced 56
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 620% on the market, supply 60% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Time Travel
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Platformer; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Adventure
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Anime, Cute, Side Scroller
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 2,165 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $89, median $900, 1 in 4 over $22k, 1 in 20 over $150k.

3 in 10 developers made under $89. 8 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 56 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×8.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimStrong odds19 devs · median $3.0k · 15 announced
  2. + PinballStrong odds10 devs · median $2.5k · 6 announced
  3. + Combat RacingFair28 devs · median $899 · 38 announced
  4. + FMVFair9 devs · median $899 · 10 announced
  5. + SimulationFair281 devs · median $628 · 235 announced
  6. + Grid-Based MovementFair23 devs · median $539 · 18 announced
  7. + AutomationFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  8. + Turn-Based TacticsLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $7.2k · 90 announced
  10. + Co-op CampaignPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $5.8k · 38 announced
  12. + SkateboardingPoor odds14 devs · median $4.8k · 23 announced

All 206 pairs on the Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sonic Generations Collection older $51.79 20,304 93% 609k $32M (exactly $31,546,325) Devil's Details
The Messenger older $19.99 10,711 92% 321k $6.4M (exactly $6,423,387) Sabotage
Braid older $14.99 6,941 93% 208k $3.1M (exactly $3,121,368) Number None
Timespinner older $19.99 2,823 86% 85k $1.7M (exactly $1,692,953) Lunar Ray Games
Prince of Persia®: The Sands of Time older $9.99 5,045 85% 151k $1.5M (exactly $1,511,986) Kudosoft
Prince of Persia: Warrior Within™ older $9.99 3,933 82% 118k $1.2M (exactly $1,178,720) Ubisoft
Evoland 2 older $19.99 1,843 88% 55k $1.1M (exactly $1,105,247) Shiro Games
Braid, Anniversary Edition older $19.99 1,761 92% 53k $1.1M (exactly $1,056,072) Thekla, Inc.
Prince of Persia: The Two Thrones™ older $9.99 2,683 80% 80k $804k (exactly $804,095) Ubisoft Montreal
No Time To Explain Remastered older $14.99 1,318 83% 40k $593k (exactly $592,705) tinyBuild
Chrono Gear: Warden of Time $17.99 950 98% 29k $513k (exactly $512,715) Team Chrono Gear, GalaxyTrail
DragonLoop $8.99 567 91% 17k $153k (exactly $152,920) 沙因, 小阮
Gawr Gura: Quest for Bread $7.99 298 97% 8.9k $71k (exactly $71,431) Kenny Park
PROJECT TACHYON $17.99 117 83% 3.5k $63k (exactly $63,145) STUDIO N9
LIFTED $19.99 70 92% 2.1k $42k (exactly $41,979) Adventure Works L.L.C.
Origament: A Paper Adventure $9.99 76 90% 2.3k $23k (exactly $22,777) Space Sauce Studio
Bleeding Deities $9.99 20 75% 600 $6.0k (exactly $5,994) Duty Over
Kokoro Clover SUN - Prehistoric Invaders! $3.99 28 100% 840 $3.4k (exactly $3,352) ひこてる
Beta MAX $9.99 10 100% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) Nexcide
Chrono $2.99 29 100% 870 $2.6k (exactly $2,601) David Simoes

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.