Do I ship it?

GamesPlatformerPlatformer + Sokoban

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Sokoban Platformer?

Platformer + Sokoban

Only 14 developers shipped a Sokoban Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Vextorial, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×3.2 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $8.3k, ×18 the market median. Revenue is up 115% on the market; 15 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 115% on the market, 15 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Platformer + Sokoban
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $599 → $6.1k → $1.0k → $2.1k → $4.6k
Outcomes for Platformer + Sokoban: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $270 (exactly $270)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,497)
Top 25% $2.1k (exactly $2,096)
Top 5% $8.4k (exactly $8,361)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 58
Announced 15
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 115% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Sokoban
effort 2 / 10 · high · grid pushing rules and level files

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Platformer, Sokoban
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 107 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $2.0k, 1 in 20 over $8.3k.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. All of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimStrong odds19 devs · median $3.0k · 15 announced
  2. + PinballStrong odds10 devs · median $2.5k · 6 announced
  3. + Combat RacingFair28 devs · median $899 · 38 announced
  4. + FMVFair9 devs · median $899 · 10 announced
  5. + SimulationFair281 devs · median $628 · 235 announced
  6. + Grid-Based MovementFair23 devs · median $539 · 18 announced
  7. + AutomationFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  8. + Turn-Based TacticsLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $7.2k · 90 announced
  10. + Co-op CampaignPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $5.8k · 38 announced
  12. + SkateboardingPoor odds14 devs · median $4.8k · 23 announced

All 206 pairs on the Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
About Love, Hate and the other ones older $7.99 626 90% 19k $150k (exactly $150,052) Black Pants Studio
Backrooms Cats and Lava older $29.99 105 79% 3.2k $94k (exactly $94,468) Galactic Geckon
Drag and Drop Medieval older $29.99 91 85% 2.7k $82k (exactly $81,873) Galactic Geckon
Button Button Up! older $11.99 93 96% 2.8k $33k (exactly $33,452) Centrosphere Games
Soulless: Ray Of Hope older $4.99 208 71% 6.2k $31k (exactly $31,138) ·
Colorful Recolor older $9.99 84 91% 2.5k $25k (exactly $25,175) Gagonfe, HugoBDesigner, Ulon
The Prism older $4.99 127 68% 3.8k $19k (exactly $19,012) Nikhil. T, Gabriel. H
Meet me at NooN older $9.99 55 100% 1.7k $16k (exactly $16,484) Pandaroo Interactive
Schein older $4.99 109 69% 3.3k $16k (exactly $16,317) Zeppelin Studio
Mess Adventures 2 older $4.99 86 81% 2.6k $13k (exactly $12,874) Marvelous Games
Vextorial $8.99 31 96% 930 $8.4k (exactly $8,361) VEXT GAMES
Bacterian · EA $7.99 19 100% 570 $4.6k (exactly $4,554) Error 300
Super Miners · EA $9.99 13 92% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) METAGAR
Unblinking $4.99 14 100% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) BIT FOX DEN
BarrelBots $14.99 4 100% 120 $1.8k (exactly $1,799) FidgetBear Games
Mr.Robbo $9.99 5 40% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) It8bit Club
Sokowand $4.99 10 100% 300 $1.5k (exactly $1,497) TheHolyFurry
Duckthing's Rolling Rooms $4.99 7 100% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Duckthing Games
Nested $5.99 3 100% 90 $539 (exactly $539) Nathan Sioui
SVA $8.99 1 100% 30 $270 (exactly $270) CC独游

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.