Do I ship it?

GamesPlatformerPlatformer + Science

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Science Platformer?

Platformer + Science

Of 37 developers who shipped a Science Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 63 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.5 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $440k, ×947 the market median. Revenue is up 275% on the market; 63 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 275% on the market, 63 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Platformer + Science
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 37
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.2k → $2.4k → $2.2k → $1.2k → $1.5k → $359 → $809 (still earning) → $719 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Platformer + Science: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 37
Bottom 30% $269 (exactly $269)
Median $719 (exactly $719)
Top 25% $3.7k (exactly $3,742)
Top 5% $450k (exactly $449,775)
Developers, 2 yr 37
Released games 132
Announced 63
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 275% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Science
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Action
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, 2D, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 8,787 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $720, 1 in 4 over $3.7k, 1 in 20 over $440k.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 9 in 10 of the 21 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 63 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimStrong odds19 devs · median $3.0k · 15 announced
  2. + PinballStrong odds10 devs · median $2.5k · 6 announced
  3. + Combat RacingFair28 devs · median $899 · 38 announced
  4. + FMVFair9 devs · median $899 · 10 announced
  5. + SimulationFair281 devs · median $628 · 235 announced
  6. + Grid-Based MovementFair23 devs · median $539 · 18 announced
  7. + AutomationFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  8. + Turn-Based TacticsLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $7.2k · 90 announced
  10. + Co-op CampaignPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $5.8k · 38 announced
  12. + SkateboardingPoor odds14 devs · median $4.8k · 23 announced

All 206 pairs on the Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Portal 2 older $9.99 390,412 98% 12M $117M (exactly $117,006,476) Valve
Portal older $9.99 173,594 98% 5.2M $52M (exactly $52,026,122) Valve
Mina the Hollower $19.99 7,562 88% 227k $4.5M (exactly $4,534,931) Yacht Club Games
CATO: Buttered Cat older $10.99 2,794 98% 84k $921k (exactly $921,182) Team Woll
Suicide Guy older $5.99 2,794 88% 84k $502k (exactly $502,082) Fabio Ferrara
Quantum Conundrum older $8.99 1,758 84% 53k $474k (exactly $474,133) Airtight Games
Bionic Bay $19.99 750 84% 23k $450k (exactly $449,775) Psychoflow Studio, Mureena Oy
DEPLOYMENT older $14.99 951 85% 29k $428k (exactly $427,665) Whale Rock Games
The Enjenir: The Engineering Physics Building Simulator · EA older $14.99 681 91% 20k $306k (exactly $306,246) PeatyTurf
Q.U.B.E: Director's Cut older $9.99 883 82% 26k $265k (exactly $264,635) Toxic Games
Looking For Fael $19.99 165 98% 5.0k $99k (exactly $98,950) Swing Swing Submarine, La Poule Noire,… (Swing Swing Submarine, La Poule Noire, ARTE France)
Exographer $19.99 124 94% 3.7k $74k (exactly $74,363) SciFunGames
Not Sure About That $4.99 76 98% 2.3k $11k (exactly $11,377) Scratch
Trigger of Time $7.99 33 93% 990 $7.9k (exactly $7,910) Pantopie
Solvimus $19.99 11 90% 330 $6.6k (exactly $6,597) Iocus GmbH
MINERALS: Deep Core Mining $6.99 23 78% 690 $4.8k (exactly $4,823) THINK & FEEL
Divider Dave $7.99 18 94% 540 $4.3k (exactly $4,315) Louis Vidal 'Pignomaster', José-Manuel… (Louis Vidal 'Pignomaster', José-Manuel Girona 'Gringo_Charlatan')
Cube Mind $4.99 25 96% 750 $3.7k (exactly $3,742) David Seco

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.