Do I ship it?

GamesPlatformerPlatformer + Robots

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Robot Platformer?

Platformer + Robots

Of 127 developers who shipped a Robot Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 239 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $190k, ×316 the market median. Revenue is up 65% on the market; 239 games are announced against 70 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 65% on the market, 239 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Platformer + Robots
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 127
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.5k → $898 → $538 → $599 → $1.1k → $899 → $945 (still earning) → $298 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Platformer + Robots: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 127
Bottom 30% $178 (exactly $178)
Median $898 (exactly $898)
Top 25% $8.4k (exactly $8,392)
Top 5% $199k (exactly $198,747)
Developers, 2 yr 127
Released games 555
Announced 239
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 65% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Robots
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Platformer; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, 2D Platformer
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, Pixel Graphics, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 14,231 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $900, 1 in 4 over $8.3k, 1 in 20 over $190k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 8 in 10 of the 75 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 239 games are announced against 70 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimStrong odds19 devs · median $3.0k · 15 announced
  2. + PinballStrong odds10 devs · median $2.5k · 6 announced
  3. + Combat RacingFair28 devs · median $899 · 38 announced
  4. + FMVFair9 devs · median $899 · 10 announced
  5. + SimulationFair281 devs · median $628 · 235 announced
  6. + Grid-Based MovementFair23 devs · median $539 · 18 announced
  7. + AutomationFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  8. + Turn-Based TacticsLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $7.2k · 90 announced
  10. + Co-op CampaignPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $5.8k · 38 announced
  12. + SkateboardingPoor odds14 devs · median $4.8k · 23 announced

All 206 pairs on the Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Hi-Fi RUSH older $29.99 27,454 97% 824k $25M (exactly $24,700,364) Tango Gameworks
Mega Man 11 older $29.99 4,312 89% 129k $3.9M (exactly $3,879,506) CAPCOM CO., LTD.
ENSLAVED™: Odyssey to the West™ Premium Edition older $19.99 5,789 86% 174k $3.5M (exactly $3,471,663) Ninja Theory
SteamWorld Dig 2 older $19.99 5,700 95% 171k $3.4M (exactly $3,418,290) Image & Form Games
MOTORSLICE $19.99 5,467 85% 164k $3.3M (exactly $3,278,560) Regular Studio
Haydee older $14.99 6,226 84% 187k $2.8M (exactly $2,799,832) Haydee Interactive
MIO: Memories in Orbit $19.99 4,300 83% 129k $2.6M (exactly $2,578,710) Douze Dixièmes
Mega Man X Legacy Collection older $19.99 4,033 79% 121k $2.4M (exactly $2,418,590) CAPCOM CO., LTD
Mega Man Zero/ZX Legacy Collection older $29.99 2,319 76% 70k $2.1M (exactly $2,086,404) CAPCOM CO., LTD.
Deliver Us Mars older $29.99 2,271 74% 68k $2.0M (exactly $2,043,219) KeokeN Interactive
Mind Over Magnet $9.99 1,344 89% 40k $403k (exactly $402,797) Game Maker's Toolkit
Europa $14.99 778 85% 23k $350k (exactly $349,867) Helder Pinto, Chozabu (Alex PB), Novadu… (Helder Pinto, Chozabu (Alex PB), Novadust Entertainment)
Hypogea $9.99 817 97% 25k $245k (exactly $244,855) Charlie Wagner
Neon Inferno $19.99 378 92% 11k $227k (exactly $226,687) Zenovia Interactive
BAIONLENJA · EA $12.99 510 97% 15k $199k (exactly $198,747) BAION
Advent NEON® $19.99 300 98% 9.0k $180k (exactly $179,910) CryoGX
Fun with Ragdolls Plus $19.99 191 76% 5.7k $115k (exactly $114,543) Jadon Barnes
NODE $24.99 146 91% 4.4k $109k (exactly $109,456) Lapsus Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.