Do I ship it?

GamesPlatformerPlatformer + Psychological

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Psychological Platformer?

Platformer + Psychological

Of 58 developers who shipped a Psychological Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 119 more are announced, ×4.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360, ×0.8 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $150k, ×319 the market median. Revenue is down 75% on the market; 119 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 119 announced, ×4.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Platformer + Psychological
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 58
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $26k → $839 → $838 → $2.5k → $359 → $419 → $359 (still earning) → $239 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Platformer + Psychological: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 58
Bottom 30% $149 (exactly $149)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $2.9k (exactly $2,875)
Top 5% $152k (exactly $151,646)
Developers, 2 yr 58
Released games 165
Announced 119
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Psychological
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Action
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, Story Rich, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 4,802 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $360, 1 in 4 over $2.8k, 1 in 20 over $150k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 33 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 119 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimStrong odds19 devs · median $3.0k · 15 announced
  2. + PinballStrong odds10 devs · median $2.5k · 6 announced
  3. + Combat RacingFair28 devs · median $899 · 38 announced
  4. + FMVFair9 devs · median $899 · 10 announced
  5. + SimulationFair281 devs · median $628 · 235 announced
  6. + Grid-Based MovementFair23 devs · median $539 · 18 announced
  7. + AutomationFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  8. + Turn-Based TacticsLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $7.2k · 90 announced
  10. + Co-op CampaignPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $5.8k · 38 announced
  12. + SkateboardingPoor odds14 devs · median $4.8k · 23 announced

All 206 pairs on the Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Psychonauts 2 older $59.99 12,333 95% 370k $22M (exactly $22,195,700) Double Fine Productions
Viewfinder older $24.99 11,901 94% 357k $8.9M (exactly $8,922,180) Sad Owl Studios
Alice: Madness Returns older $9.99 27,795 90% 834k $8.3M (exactly $8,330,162) Spicy Horse Games
Antichamber older $19.99 13,656 95% 410k $8.2M (exactly $8,189,503) Alexander Bruce
Psychonauts older $9.99 12,343 95% 370k $3.7M (exactly $3,699,197) Double Fine Productions
INMOST older $14.99 5,928 90% 178k $2.7M (exactly $2,665,822) Hidden Layer Games
Constance $19.99 2,822 82% 85k $1.7M (exactly $1,692,353) Blue Backpack
Shady Part of Me older $14.99 2,554 93% 77k $1.1M (exactly $1,148,534) Douze Dixièmes
The Last Case of Benedict Fox Definitive Edition older $24.99 786 71% 24k $589k (exactly $589,264) Plot Twist
Papo & Yo older $14.99 1,111 94% 33k $500k (exactly $499,617) Minority Media Inc.
PEPPERED: an existential platformer $14.99 603 96% 18k $271k (exactly $271,169) Mostly Games
Climb The Backrooms $4.99 1,013 81% 30k $152k (exactly $151,646) LovDEV
ART IS RIFLE $14.99 65 76% 2.0k $29k (exactly $29,230) Arman Pakan
Death Frame $14.99 57 98% 1.7k $26k (exactly $25,633) EpiXR Games UG
1000 Deaths (Thousand Deaths) $14.99 33 87% 990 $15k (exactly $14,840) Pariah Interactive, Inc.
Platform $9.99 46 73% 1.4k $14k (exactly $13,786) METAGAR
Don't Look Behind $4.99 81 58% 2.4k $12k (exactly $12,126) Simon Au Yeung
S.E.M.I. – Side Effects May Include... $7.99 47 78% 1.4k $11k (exactly $11,266) Two Horn Unicorn
SCREAM NOTE $7.99 35 2% 1.1k $8.4k (exactly $8,390) REAL PLAYERS

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.