Do I ship it?

GamesPlatformerPlatformer + Precision Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Precision Platformer Platformer?

Platformer + Precision Platformer

Of 1,075 developers who shipped a Precision Platformer Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 1,233 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.9 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $31k, ×67 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 1,233 games are announced against 589 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 1,233 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Platformer + Precision Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 1,075
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $896 → $599 → $594 → $719 → $599 → $538 → $449 (still earning) → $120 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Platformer + Precision Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 1,075
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $2.4k (exactly $2,395)
Top 5% $32k (exactly $31,987)
Developers, 2 yr 1,075
Released games 3,222
Announced 1,233
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Platformer, Precision Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, 2D Platformer
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Difficult
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 32,011 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $450, 1 in 4 over $2.3k, 1 in 20 over $31k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 596 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 1,233 games are announced against 589 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimStrong odds19 devs · median $3.0k · 15 announced
  2. + PinballStrong odds10 devs · median $2.5k · 6 announced
  3. + Combat RacingFair28 devs · median $899 · 38 announced
  4. + FMVFair9 devs · median $899 · 10 announced
  5. + SimulationFair281 devs · median $628 · 235 announced
  6. + Grid-Based MovementFair23 devs · median $539 · 18 announced
  7. + AutomationFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  8. + Turn-Based TacticsLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $7.2k · 90 announced
  10. + Co-op CampaignPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $5.8k · 38 announced
  12. + SkateboardingPoor odds14 devs · median $4.8k · 23 announced

All 206 pairs on the Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Geometry Dash older $4.99 595,606 93% 18M $89M (exactly $89,162,218) RobTop Games
Celeste older $19.99 132,072 97% 4.0M $79M (exactly $79,203,578) Maddy Makes Games Inc., Extremely OK Ga… (Maddy Makes Games Inc., Extremely OK Games, Ltd.)
SANABI older $14.99 41,700 97% 1.3M $19M (exactly $18,752,490) WONDER POTION
Ultimate Chicken Horse older $14.99 41,060 95% 1.2M $18M (exactly $18,464,682) Clever Endeavour Games
BlazBlue Entropy Effect older $19.99 30,410 94% 912k $18M (exactly $18,236,877) 91Act
Super Meat Boy older $14.99 30,031 93% 901k $14M (exactly $13,504,941) Team Meat
Neon White older $24.99 17,259 97% 518k $13M (exactly $12,939,072) Angel Matrix
White Knuckle · EA $16.99 13,356 98% 401k $6.8M (exactly $6,807,553) Dark Machine Games
Prince of Persia The Lost Crown older $29.99 6,754 84% 203k $6.1M (exactly $6,076,574) Ubisoft Montpellier
Jump King older $12.99 12,342 90% 370k $4.8M (exactly $4,809,677) Nexile
MIO: Memories in Orbit $19.99 4,300 83% 129k $2.6M (exactly $2,578,710) Douze Dixièmes
Tomb Raider IV-VI Remastered $29.99 1,507 89% 45k $1.4M (exactly $1,355,848) Aspyr, Crystal Dynamics
Get To Work $12.99 3,456 88% 104k $1.3M (exactly $1,346,803) Isto Inc.
Luna Abyss $29.99 923 86% 28k $830k (exactly $830,423) Kwalee Labs
Super Meat Boy 3D $24.99 828 87% 25k $621k (exactly $620,752) Sluggerfly, Team Meat
Fever Meme $4.20 4,358 91% 131k $549k (exactly $549,108) Aimbok
JUMP KING QUEST $14.99 1,202 88% 36k $541k (exactly $540,539) Nexile
Egging On $14.99 747 74% 22k $336k (exactly $335,926) Egobounds
Ambidextro $7.99 1,334 98% 40k $320k (exactly $319,760) Majorariatto

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.