Games › Visual Novel › Visual Novel + Pirates
Should I ship a Pirate Visual Novel?
Visual Novel + Pirates
Only 13 developers shipped a Pirate Visual Novel in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Loot Line - Season 1, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $4.9k, ×7.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.3k; 1 in 20 cleared $100k, ×168 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 16 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $2.2k (exactly $2,242) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.9k (exactly $4,947) |
| Top 25% | $27k (exactly $26,861) |
| Top 5% | $105k (exactly $105,219) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 44 |
| Announced | 16 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $10.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Visual Novel
- effort 2 / 10 · high · script, choices and static art
- Pirates
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Visual Novel
- Price point
- $10.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 77% positive over 728 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.3k. 7 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Visual Novel with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + City BuilderStrong odds
- + MusicStrong odds
- + TrainsStrong odds
- + Souls-likeFair
- + MinigamesFair
- + RhythmFair
- + JRPGFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + SwordplayFair
- + GamblingFair
- + DiplomacyFair
Comparable games
Sailing Era 2023 · $3.4M 
Miss Neko: Pirates 2024 · $167k 
The Pirate's Fate 2018 · $158k 
Timeloop: Sink Again Beach 2022 · $126k 
Loot Line - Season 1 2025 · $105k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Sailing Era | older | $24.99 | 4,565 78% | 137k | $3.4M (exactly $3,422,380) | GY Games |
| | Miss Neko: Pirates | older | $3.99 | 1,395 83% | 42k | $167k (exactly $166,982) | Orangeee |
| | The Pirate's Fate | older | $19.99 | 263 87% | 7.9k | $158k (exactly $157,721) | T.F. Wright, Volkenfox |
| | Timeloop: Sink Again Beach | older | $11.99 | 350 90% | 11k | $126k (exactly $125,895) | Fang's Lab, Flatcoon |
| | Loot Line - Season 1 | $12.99 | 270 74% | 8.1k | $105k (exactly $105,219) | Candylight Studio | |
 | Fort Defense | older | $14.99 | 232 78% | 7.0k | $104k (exactly $104,330) | Creobit |
 | Cursed Lands | older | $24.99 | 124 73% | 3.7k | $93k (exactly $92,963) | Winter Wolves |
 | Mutiny!! | older | $9.99 | 226 87% | 6.8k | $68k (exactly $67,732) | Lupiesoft |
 | Revenge of Black Bone | $14.99 | 112 64% | 3.4k | $50k (exactly $50,366) | Entropy Digital Entertainment | |
 | Pirates: Golden tits: Chapter 1 | $9.99 | 153 80% | 4.6k | $46k (exactly $45,854) | HotBunny | |
 | Shadowhand Solitaire | $13.99 | 64 90% | 1.9k | $27k (exactly $26,861) | Grey Alien Games | |
 | Rivers of Astrum: Daughter of Darkness | · EA | $8.99 | 48 83% | 1.4k | $13k (exactly $12,946) | Paper Tiger |
 | LOGBOOK: Beneath the Storm | $13.99 | 13 38% | 390 | $5.5k (exactly $5,456) | Pink Iceberg Games | |
 | Tales From The Under-Realm: Lilith | $14.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $4.9k (exactly $4,947) | Winter Wolves | |
 | To Grant A Wish | $15.00 | 8 100% | 240 | $3.6k (exactly $3,600) | Wizard Raz Studios | |
 | Hentai Pirates Survivors | $4.99 | 24 91% | 720 | $3.6k (exactly $3,593) | Pinky Pads | |
 | Don't press X to free the pirate! | $2.99 | 25 92% | 750 | $2.2k (exactly $2,242) | Okamisen |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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