Do I ship it?

Games › Turn-Based Tactics › Turn-Based Tactics + Party Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Party Game Turn-Based Tactics?

Turn-Based Tactics + Party Game

Of 42 developers who shipped a Party Game Turn-Based Tactics in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 68 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $120 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 38 developers shipped in the last year and 68 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 1690% on the market, 68 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Tactics + Party Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 42
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.0k → $1.7k → $299 (still earning) → $60 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Tactics + Party Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 42
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $120 (exactly $120)
Top 25% $1.7k (exactly $1,678)
Top 5% $18k (exactly $17,988)
Developers, 2 yr 42
Released games 58
Announced 68
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1690% on the market, supply 850% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Party Game
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Tactics, Party Game; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, PvP, Turn-Based Strategy
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Family Friendly
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 655 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $120, 1 in 4 over $1.6k, 1 in 20 over $17k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 68 games are announced against 38 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Tactics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TanksFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  2. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced
  3. + ProgrammingFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 16 announced
  4. + DiceFair47 devs · median $1.6k · 53 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  6. + Time ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.4k · 69 announced
  7. + IdlerFair47 devs · median $1.3k · 48 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair55 devs · median $1.0k · 56 announced
  9. + Traditional RoguelikeFair78 devs · median $629 · 95 announced
  10. + PsychologicalFair34 devs · median $629 · 40 announced
  11. + PuzzleFair263 devs · median $598 · 308 announced
  12. + PlatformerLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced

All 189 pairs on the Turn-Based Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

King Of The Castle 2023 · $420k Tenebris: Terra Incognita 2026 · $188k MACHI KORO With Everyone 2024 · $89k Deviation Game 2025 · EA · $49k Lunars 2026 · EA · $18k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
King Of The Castle older $9.99 1,403 90% 42k $420k (exactly $420,479) Tributary Games
Tenebris: Terra Incognita $19.99 313 79% 9.4k $188k (exactly $187,706) Phantasmica Studios
MACHI KORO With Everyone older $24.99 119 66% 3.6k $89k (exactly $89,214) Grounding Inc.
Deviation Game · EA $14.99 109 90% 3.3k $49k (exactly $49,017) Tomo Kihara, Playfool
Lunars · EA $14.99 40 97% 1.2k $18k (exactly $17,988) Anubis Arts
Doodle Dice Monsters $5.99 60 75% 1.8k $11k (exactly $10,782) AuWiMo, Mighty Jungle Games
okey.gg · EA $9.99 16 50% 480 $4.8k (exactly $4,795) yilmaz.games
DEAD MAN'S HAND: Card Roulette Action older $4.99 31 100% 930 $4.6k (exactly $4,641) Black Garden Studios
I Have an Item $2.99 49 93% 1.5k $4.4k (exactly $4,395) Void Heat
GensouKoroKoro $9.99 14 100% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) mitiroom
Blackjack Roulette $2.99 30 83% 900 $2.7k (exactly $2,691) DreamArk Lab
Co OPERATION: MultiTurn $19.99 4 100% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) Mind Feast Games
ホロライブオールスター バトルタイルズ $3.99 20 25% 600 $2.4k (exactly $2,394) BG2研

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.