Games › Party-Based RPG › Party-Based RPG + Dating Sim
Should I ship a Dating Sim Party-Based RPG?
Party-Based RPG + Dating Sim
Only 13 developers shipped a Dating Sim Party-Based RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Rune Factory: Guardians of Azuma, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×4.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $49k, ×78 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $23k; 1 in 20 cleared $5.3M, ×8445 the market median. Revenue is up 420% on the market; 25 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $22k (exactly $22,189) |
|---|---|
| Median | $49k (exactly $48,899) |
| Top 25% | $413k (exactly $412,987) |
| Top 5% | $5.3M (exactly $5,303,716) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 51 |
| Announced | 25 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $17.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 420% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Party-Based RPG
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Dating Sim
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Party-Based RPG, Dating Sim
- Price point
- $17.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 8,086 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $23k. 5 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Party-Based RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Board GameFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + 2D PlatformerFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + Martial ArtsPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + BuildingPoor odds
- + AutomationPoor odds
- + Turn-BasedPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + IncrementalPoor odds
- + Grid-Based MovementPoor odds
Comparable games
Persona 5 Royal 2022 · $165M 
Persona 3 Reload 2024 · $78M 
Persona 4 Golden 2020 · $43M 
The Legend of Heroes: Trails of Cold Steel 2017 · $6.2M 
Rune Factory: Guardians of Azuma 2025 · $5.3M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Persona 5 Royal | older | $59.99 | 91,682 96% | 2.8M | $165M (exactly $165,000,095) | ATLUS |
| | Persona 3 Reload | older | $59.99 | 43,497 95% | 1.3M | $78M (exactly $78,281,551) | ATLUS |
| | Persona 4 Golden | older | $19.99 | 71,306 97% | 2.1M | $43M (exactly $42,762,208) | ATLUS |
| | The Legend of Heroes: Trails of Cold Steel | older | $39.99 | 5,131 94% | 154k | $6.2M (exactly $6,155,661) | Nihon Falcom |
| | Rune Factory: Guardians of Azuma | $59.99 | 2,947 88% | 88k | $5.3M (exactly $5,303,716) | Marvelous Inc. | |
 | Persona 3 Portable | older | $19.99 | 4,728 81% | 142k | $2.8M (exactly $2,835,382) | ATLUS |
 | Rune Factory 5 | older | $39.99 | 1,940 76% | 58k | $2.3M (exactly $2,327,418) | Marvelous Inc. |
 | Rune Factory 4 Special | older | $29.99 | 2,070 88% | 62k | $1.9M (exactly $1,862,379) | Marvelous Inc. |
 | Rebellion GODSOUL: Awakening | · EA | $17.99 | 2,458 85% | 74k | $1.3M (exactly $1,326,583) | U-Secret Studio |
 | Agarest: Generations of War | older | $14.99 | 1,668 70% | 50k | $750k (exactly $750,100) | Idea Factory |
 | Ledgerbound | $29.99 | 562 92% | 17k | $506k (exactly $505,631) | OmniMegaSuperCorp | |
 | FLAM EVAW | $9.99 | 1,378 95% | 41k | $413k (exactly $412,987) | 北京万合瑞晟文化传媒有限公司 | |
 | Erannorth Renaissance | $19.99 | 186 81% | 5.6k | $112k (exactly $111,544) | Spyridon Thalassinos | |
 | K-pop Idol Stories: Road to Debut | $19.99 | 175 53% | 5.3k | $105k (exactly $104,947) | Wisageni Studio | |
 | BM Love Cafe | $7.99 | 204 77% | 6.1k | $49k (exactly $48,899) | zzzgame | |
 | Rewrite Harvest festa! | $19.99 | 64 96% | 1.9k | $38k (exactly $38,381) | VisualArts/Key | |
 | Naughty Tales of Rabbits - A Cuckold RPG | $9.99 | 75 88% | 2.3k | $22k (exactly $22,478) | Hyanmaru Games | |
 | UltraGirl Alters | $19.99 | 37 64% | 1.1k | $22k (exactly $22,189) | FutureInvention |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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