Do I ship it?

Games › Party-Based RPG › Party-Based RPG + Incremental

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Incremental Party-Based RPG?

Party-Based RPG + Incremental

Only 18 developers shipped an Incremental Party-Based RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Loot of Baal, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 45 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $15k, ×23 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.8k; 1 in 20 cleared $370k, ×589 the market median. Revenue is down 75% on the market; 45 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 23.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 45 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Party-Based RPG + Incremental
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $63k → $9.5k (still earning) → $65k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Party-Based RPG + Incremental: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $1.8k (exactly $1,796)
Median $15k (exactly $14,521)
Top 25% $153k (exactly $152,929)
Top 5% $370k (exactly $370,028)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 42
Announced 45
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 250% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 29%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Party-Based RPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Incremental
effort 1 / 10 · high · formulas and upgrade tables

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Party-Based RPG, Incremental; all of the top 25% also carry Idler, RPG, Strategy
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 7,817 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.8k, median $15k, 1 in 4 over $150k, 1 in 20 over $370k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.8k. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 45 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Party-Based RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Board GameFair24 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  2. + Point & ClickFair17 devs · median $2.5k · 20 announced
  3. + 2D PlatformerFair55 devs · median $599 · 42 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair15 devs · median $479 · 16 announced
  5. + Martial ArtsPoor odds5 devs · median $230k · 16 announced
  6. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $49k · 25 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds23 devs · median $34k · 71 announced
  8. + BuildingPoor odds12 devs · median $32k · 37 announced
  9. + AutomationPoor odds14 devs · median $21k · 28 announced
  10. + Turn-BasedPoor odds67 devs · median $19k · 76 announced
  11. + Base BuildingPoor odds19 devs · median $19k · 51 announced
  12. + Grid-Based MovementPoor odds46 devs · median $13k · 87 announced

All 111 pairs on the Party-Based RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Loot of Baal 2025 · $370k Path of Idle: Old Gods Rising 2026 · $348k Master Healer Kale with useless party 2026 · $281k Loot Loop 2026 · $255k Bones and Coins 2026 · $153k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Loot of Baal $8.99 1,372 62% 41k $370k (exactly $370,028) Gleamer Studio
Path of Idle: Old Gods Rising $9.99 1,160 77% 35k $348k (exactly $347,652) Small Mill, Small Mill
Master Healer Kale with useless party $4.99 1,879 95% 56k $281k (exactly $281,286) Evrac Studio
Loot Loop $4.99 1,701 93% 51k $255k (exactly $254,640) BitBrew
Bones and Coins $7.99 638 72% 19k $153k (exactly $152,929) Troyd Games
Miseria $7.99 350 58% 11k $84k (exactly $83,895) Somnambulist Games
NecroAttack！ older $9.99 241 72% 7.2k $72k (exactly $72,228) VirusSea
Adventure Land - The Code MMORPG $14.99 144 84% 4.3k $65k (exactly $64,757) Wizard
Raid Auctus $4.99 423 56% 13k $63k (exactly $63,323) Cosmic Whale Studio
Bomb Vehicle Idle Clicker · EA $4.99 97 73% 2.9k $15k (exactly $14,521) RimmindGame
Gridle $5.99 53 66% 1.6k $9.5k (exactly $9,524) Seyloj

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.