Do I ship it?

GamesParty-Based RPGParty-Based RPG + Board Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Board Game Party-Based RPG?

Party-Based RPG + Board Game

Of 24 developers who shipped a Board Game Party-Based RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $18k, ×29 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $2.7k. Revenue is up 955% on the market; 29 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 28.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 955% on the market, 29 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Party-Based RPG + Board Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 24
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $124k → $99k → $3.1k → $82k → $81k (still earning) → $13k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Party-Based RPG + Board Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 24
Bottom 30% $2.7k (exactly $2,697)
Median $18k (exactly $17,994)
Top 25% $128k (exactly $128,413)
Top 5% $672k (exactly $672,481)
Developers, 2 yr 24
Released games 62
Announced 29
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 955% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Party-Based RPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Board Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Party-Based RPG, Board Game; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Strategy RPG, RPG
Price point
$14.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 4,632 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.7k, median $18k, 1 in 4 over $120k, 1 in 20 over $670k.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.7k. 6 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Party-Based RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Point & ClickFair17 devs · median $2.5k · 20 announced
  2. + 2D PlatformerFair55 devs · median $599 · 42 announced
  3. + Hidden ObjectFair15 devs · median $479 · 16 announced
  4. + Martial ArtsPoor odds5 devs · median $230k · 16 announced
  5. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $49k · 25 announced
  6. + SandboxPoor odds23 devs · median $34k · 71 announced
  7. + BuildingPoor odds12 devs · median $32k · 37 announced
  8. + AutomationPoor odds14 devs · median $21k · 28 announced
  9. + Turn-BasedPoor odds67 devs · median $19k · 76 announced
  10. + Base BuildingPoor odds19 devs · median $19k · 51 announced
  11. + IncrementalPoor odds18 devs · median $15k · 45 announced
  12. + Grid-Based MovementPoor odds46 devs · median $13k · 87 announced

All 111 pairs on the Party-Based RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
For The King older $19.99 31,038 87% 931k $19M (exactly $18,613,489) IronOak Games
Gloomhaven older $34.99 13,628 82% 409k $14M (exactly $14,305,312) Flaming Fowl Studios, Saber Interactive
For The King II older $24.99 12,708 71% 381k $9.5M (exactly $9,527,188) IronOak Games
TaleSpire · EA older $24.99 4,391 89% 132k $3.3M (exactly $3,291,933) Bouncyrock Entertainment
Stolen Realm older $19.99 3,470 84% 104k $2.1M (exactly $2,080,959) Burst2Flame Games
Demeo x Dungeons & Dragons: Battlemarked $29.99 1,235 82% 37k $1.1M (exactly $1,111,130) Resolution Games
The Legend of Fancy Realm Remake $24.99 897 86% 27k $672k (exactly $672,481) USERJOY Technology Co.,Ltd.
Abalon: Roguelike Tactics CCG older $29.99 592 95% 18k $533k (exactly $532,622) D20Studios
Viractal: Will You Trust Your Party? $24.99 448 88% 13k $336k (exactly $335,866) Sting
Sandwalkers $19.99 490 73% 15k $294k (exactly $293,853) Goblinz Studio
Dead Grid $12.99 504 93% 15k $196k (exactly $196,409) Atom Void
NEODUEL: Backpack Monsters $11.99 357 79% 11k $128k (exactly $128,413) dicehit, Rogue Duck Interactive
Erannorth Renaissance $19.99 186 81% 5.6k $112k (exactly $111,544) Spyridon Thalassinos
Worlds of Aria $14.99 220 90% 6.6k $99k (exactly $98,934) Ludogram
Cell Command $17.99 159 97% 4.8k $86k (exactly $85,812) Alpherior
Dark Quest 4 $19.99 136 75% 4.1k $82k (exactly $81,559) Brain Seal Ltd

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.