Games › Party-Based RPG › Party-Based RPG + Visual Novel
Should I ship a Visual Novel Party-Based RPG?
Party-Based RPG + Visual Novel
Of 40 developers who shipped a Visual Novel Party-Based RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 82 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.8k, ×6.0 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $1.3M, ×2112 the market median. Revenue is up 355% on the market; 82 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $718 (exactly $718) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.8k (exactly $3,777) |
| Top 25% | $30k (exactly $29,992) |
| Top 5% | $1.3M (exactly $1,326,583) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 40 |
| Released games | 137 |
| Announced | 82 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $11.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 355% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Party-Based RPG
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Visual Novel
- effort 2 / 10 · high · script, choices and static art
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Party-Based RPG, Visual Novel; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, JRPG, Adventure
- Price point
- $11.99 typical · top 25% priced $57.99 or above
- Art
- 7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Anime, Story Rich, Cute
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $57.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.
The top 10 games average 88% positive over 11,641 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $720. 8 in 10 of the 21 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 82 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Party-Based RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Board GameFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + 2D PlatformerFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + Martial ArtsPoor odds
- + Dating SimPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + BuildingPoor odds
- + AutomationPoor odds
- + Turn-BasedPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + IncrementalPoor odds
Comparable games
Persona 4 Golden 2020 · $43M 
Sora no Kiseki the 1st 2025 · $9.4M 
Pyre 2017 · $5.0M 
Persona 3 Portable 2023 · $2.8M 
The Legend of Heroes: Kuro no Kiseki 2022 · $2.0M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Persona 4 Golden | older | $19.99 | 71,306 97% | 2.1M | $43M (exactly $42,762,208) | ATLUS |
| | Sora no Kiseki the 1st | $59.99 | 5,205 97% | 156k | $9.4M (exactly $9,367,438) | Nihon Falcom | |
| | Pyre | older | $19.99 | 8,396 90% | 252k | $5.0M (exactly $5,035,081) | Supergiant Games |
| | Persona 3 Portable | older | $19.99 | 4,728 81% | 142k | $2.8M (exactly $2,835,382) | ATLUS |
| | The Legend of Heroes: Kuro no Kiseki | older | $49.99 | 1,316 91% | 39k | $2.0M (exactly $1,973,605) | Nihon Falcom |
 | Labyrinth of Refrain: Coven of Dusk | older | $49.99 | 1,311 79% | 39k | $2.0M (exactly $1,966,107) | Nippon Ichi Software, Inc. |
 | The Legend of Heroes: Kuro no Kiseki Ⅱ -CRIMSON SiN- | older | $59.99 | 789 76% | 24k | $1.4M (exactly $1,419,963) | Nihon Falcom |
 | Monochrome Mobius: Rights and Wrongs Forgotten | older | $59.99 | 759 80% | 23k | $1.4M (exactly $1,365,972) | AQUAPLUS |
 | The Legend of Heroes: Kai no Kiseki -Farewell, O Zemuria- | $57.99 | 765 77% | 23k | $1.3M (exactly $1,330,870) | Nihon Falcom | |
 | Rebellion GODSOUL: Awakening | · EA | $17.99 | 2,458 85% | 74k | $1.3M (exactly $1,326,583) | U-Secret Studio |
 | Utawarerumono: Past and Present Rediscovered | $59.99 | 289 83% | 8.7k | $520k (exactly $520,113) | AQUAPLUS | |
 | Aether & Iron | $24.99 | 521 84% | 16k | $391k (exactly $390,594) | Seismic Squirrel, Chaos Theory Games | |
 | The NOexistenceN of Morphean Paradox : The Forest of Silver Shallots | · EA | $6.99 | 1,697 72% | 51k | $356k (exactly $355,861) | 0x0Real Studio |
 | K-pop Idol Stories: Road to Debut | $19.99 | 175 53% | 5.3k | $105k (exactly $104,947) | Wisageni Studio | |
 | Neptunia Game Maker R:Evolution | $29.99 | 110 76% | 3.3k | $99k (exactly $98,967) | Idea Factory, Compile Heart | |
 | Kitchen Sync: Aloha! | $19.99 | 159 99% | 4.8k | $95k (exactly $95,352) | Lemonpepper Games | |
 | Heroines of Swords & Spells 2 | $9.99 | 262 93% | 7.9k | $79k (exactly $78,521) | Kirillkrm |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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