Do I ship it?

GamesParty-Based RPGParty-Based RPG + Time Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Time Management Party-Based RPG?

Party-Based RPG + Time Management

Only 13 developers shipped a Time Management Party-Based RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Metaphor: ReFantazio, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.0k, ×4.8 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $700; 1 in 20 cleared $52M, ×84336 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 30 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 30 announced, ×4.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Party-Based RPG + Time Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $50k → $693 → $356k (still earning) → $1.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Party-Based RPG + Time Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $693 (exactly $693)
Median $3.0k (exactly $2,992)
Top 25% $356k (exactly $355,861)
Top 5% $53M (exactly $52,962,833)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 33
Announced 30
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Party-Based RPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Time Management
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Party-Based RPG, Time Management
Price point
$8.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 36,423 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $700, median $3.0k, 1 in 4 over $350k, 1 in 20 over $52M.

3 in 10 developers made under $700. 6 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Party-Based RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Board GameFair24 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  2. + Point & ClickFair17 devs · median $2.5k · 20 announced
  3. + 2D PlatformerFair55 devs · median $599 · 42 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair15 devs · median $479 · 16 announced
  5. + Martial ArtsPoor odds5 devs · median $230k · 16 announced
  6. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $49k · 25 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds23 devs · median $34k · 71 announced
  8. + BuildingPoor odds12 devs · median $32k · 37 announced
  9. + AutomationPoor odds14 devs · median $21k · 28 announced
  10. + Turn-BasedPoor odds67 devs · median $19k · 76 announced
  11. + Base BuildingPoor odds19 devs · median $19k · 51 announced
  12. + IncrementalPoor odds18 devs · median $15k · 45 announced

All 111 pairs on the Party-Based RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Metaphor: ReFantazio $69.99 25,224 89% 757k $53M (exactly $52,962,833) ATLUS
Kebab Chefs! - Restaurant Simulator $17.99 7,019 83% 211k $3.8M (exactly $3,788,154) Biotech Gameworks
Bloomtown: A Different Story $24.99 1,428 85% 43k $1.1M (exactly $1,070,572) Lazy Bear Games, Different Sense Games
The NOexistenceN of Morphean Paradox : The Forest of Silver Shallots · EA $6.99 1,697 72% 51k $356k (exactly $355,861) 0x0Real Studio
万象群侠传 $8.99 853 85% 26k $230k (exactly $230,054) 火天工作室
Dungeon Dreams 2 older $19.99 209 90% 6.3k $125k (exactly $125,337) DDreams Games
Siege of Dungeon older $12.99 257 82% 7.7k $100k (exactly $100,153) Binary Tree Studio
Kitchen Sync: Aloha! $19.99 159 99% 4.8k $95k (exactly $95,352) Lemonpepper Games
Diablo The Abyss older $7.99 207 83% 6.2k $50k (exactly $49,618) Friday Night
Alluna and Brie Re-Tentacled older $29.99 33 90% 990 $30k (exactly $29,690) Lached Up Games
Grim Pastures · EA $3.99 25 96% 750 $3.0k (exactly $2,992) 7hgamestudio
10-Man Idle $4.99 9 77% 270 $1.3k (exactly $1,347) JLGames
Absolute Legend $6.99 6 83% 180 $1.3k (exactly $1,258) 超巨大战喵
Cook Saga · EA $7.70 3 66% 90 $693 (exactly $693) Nasus Solution

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.