Do I ship it?

Games › Party-Based RPG › Party-Based RPG + Swordplay

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Swordplay Party-Based RPG?

Party-Based RPG + Swordplay

Only 8 developers shipped a Swordplay Party-Based RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Psychic Kung Fu Master, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×3.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $1.0M, ×1645 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 21 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.4 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 21 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Party-Based RPG + Swordplay
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Party-Based RPG + Swordplay: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,156)
Top 25% $520k (exactly $520,113)
Top 5% $1.0M (exactly $1,033,283)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 29
Announced 21
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 250% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Party-Based RPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Swordplay
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Party-Based RPG, Swordplay
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $59.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 104,401 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $520k, 1 in 20 over $1.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 21 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Party-Based RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Board GameFair24 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  2. + Point & ClickFair17 devs · median $2.5k · 20 announced
  3. + 2D PlatformerFair55 devs · median $599 · 42 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair15 devs · median $479 · 16 announced
  5. + Martial ArtsPoor odds5 devs · median $230k · 16 announced
  6. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $49k · 25 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds23 devs · median $34k · 71 announced
  8. + BuildingPoor odds12 devs · median $32k · 37 announced
  9. + AutomationPoor odds14 devs · median $21k · 28 announced
  10. + Turn-BasedPoor odds67 devs · median $19k · 76 announced
  11. + Base BuildingPoor odds19 devs · median $19k · 51 announced
  12. + IncrementalPoor odds18 devs · median $15k · 45 announced

All 111 pairs on the Party-Based RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Kenshi 2018 · $89M Monochrome Mobius: Rights and Wrongs Forgotten 2022 · $1.4M Psychic Kung Fu Master 2026 · $1.0M SWORD ART ONLINE Last Recollection 2023 · $810k 英雄群侠传II 2019 · $756k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Kenshi older $29.99 98,451 95% 3.0M $89M (exactly $88,576,365) Lo-Fi Games
Monochrome Mobius: Rights and Wrongs Forgotten older $59.99 759 80% 23k $1.4M (exactly $1,365,972) AQUAPLUS
Psychic Kung Fu Master $19.99 1,723 60% 52k $1.0M (exactly $1,033,283) 金十四工作室
SWORD ART ONLINE Last Recollection older $59.99 450 58% 14k $810k (exactly $809,865) AQURIA Co., Ltd.
英雄群侠传II older $11.99 2,103 88% 63k $756k (exactly $756,449) 熊窝dodox
Utawarerumono: Past and Present Rediscovered $59.99 289 83% 8.7k $520k (exactly $520,113) AQUAPLUS
Korea Dynasty (조선메타실록) · EA older $23.99 267 72% 8.0k $192k (exactly $192,160) Happy Daram Inc.
Xuan-Yuan Sword: The Clouds Faraway older $9.99 210 70% 6.3k $63k (exactly $62,937) SOFTSTAR ENTERTAINMENT, DOMO Studio
Avalom: Ancestral Heroes older $17.99 72 62% 2.2k $39k (exactly $38,858) WAGNER ROCHA
Fortune Summoners Special Edition older $14.99 77 85% 2.3k $35k (exactly $34,627) Lizsoft
Aegis Force: The Scorian War · EA $24.99 14 71% 420 $10k (exactly $10,496) Zenahive, Ellipsii
傲世修仙录 $5.99 12 58% 360 $2.2k (exactly $2,156) 半醉的蜗牛
The Knight of Niraking $4.49 4 100% 120 $539 (exactly $539) Suparia Entertainment
False Title - RPG $5.99 2 50% 60 $359 (exactly $359) S Xavier Uy
Rally the Parties · EA $2.99 3 66% 90 $269 (exactly $269) TK Works
Gamers Club Repeat $6.99 1 100% 30 $210 (exactly $210) S Xavier Uy
Sword World VR $14.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Chubby Knight Workshop

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.