Do I ship it?

GamesParty-Based RPGParty-Based RPG + Real Time Tactics

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Party-Based RPG Real Time Tactics?

Party-Based RPG + Real Time Tactics

Of 23 developers who shipped a Party-Based RPG Real Time Tactics in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 64 more are announced, ×11 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.0k, ×9.5 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $1.0M, ×1617 the market median. Revenue is up 565% on the market; 64 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 9.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 565% on the market, 64 announced, ×11 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Party-Based RPG + Real Time Tactics
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 23
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.3k → $60 → $25k → $359 → $28k → $4.0k
Outcomes for Party-Based RPG + Real Time Tactics: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 23
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $6.0k (exactly $5,988)
Top 25% $38k (exactly $38,362)
Top 5% $1.0M (exactly $1,015,292)
Developers, 2 yr 23
Released games 71
Announced 64
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 565% on the market, supply 65% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Party-Based RPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Real Time Tactics
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Party-Based RPG, Real Time Tactics; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Strategy RPG, RPG
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 68% positive over 5,298 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $6.0k, 1 in 4 over $38k, 1 in 20 over $1.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 8 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 64 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×11 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Party-Based RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Board GameFair24 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  2. + Point & ClickFair17 devs · median $2.5k · 20 announced
  3. + 2D PlatformerFair55 devs · median $599 · 42 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair15 devs · median $479 · 16 announced
  5. + Martial ArtsPoor odds5 devs · median $230k · 16 announced
  6. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $49k · 25 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds23 devs · median $34k · 71 announced
  8. + BuildingPoor odds12 devs · median $32k · 37 announced
  9. + AutomationPoor odds14 devs · median $21k · 28 announced
  10. + Turn-BasedPoor odds67 devs · median $19k · 76 announced
  11. + Base BuildingPoor odds19 devs · median $19k · 51 announced
  12. + IncrementalPoor odds18 devs · median $15k · 45 announced

All 111 pairs on the Party-Based RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Kenshi older $29.99 98,451 95% 3.0M $89M (exactly $88,576,365) Lo-Fi Games
Age of Reforging: The Freelands $29.99 2,291 71% 69k $2.1M (exactly $2,061,213) PersonaeGame Studio
Tower of Time older $24.99 2,322 82% 70k $1.7M (exactly $1,740,803) Event Horizon
Legend of Mana older $29.99 1,132 78% 34k $1.0M (exactly $1,018,460) Square Enix, M2 Co., Ltd.
Crown and Adventure $19.99 1,693 61% 51k $1.0M (exactly $1,015,292) C3D Games
Dark Envoy older $29.99 783 69% 23k $704k (exactly $704,465) Event Horizon
Shardpunk older $13.99 739 92% 22k $310k (exactly $310,158) Clockwork Pile
Dustwind older $24.99 341 75% 10k $256k (exactly $255,648) Dustwind Studios
Kādomon: Hyper Auto Battlers $9.99 543 65% 16k $163k (exactly $162,737) Dino Rocket
Ascent of Ashes · EA $14.99 268 68% 8.0k $121k (exactly $120,520) Vivid Storm Interactive
巴哈姆特1-REMAKE(BAHAMUT1-REMAKE) $9.99 170 95% 5.1k $51k (exactly $50,949) 王韋
Swords And Magic: Path Of Conquest · EA $9.99 128 77% 3.8k $38k (exactly $38,362) ShadowMoon Wolf Game Tech Ltd
Necro Story $14.99 73 89% 2.2k $33k (exactly $32,828) Rablo Games
Dustwind: Resistance $19.90 47 80% 1.4k $28k (exactly $28,059) Dustwind Studios, Z-Software
UltraGirl Alters $19.99 37 64% 1.1k $22k (exactly $22,189) FutureInvention
Chaos Entropy $11.00 48 89% 1.4k $16k (exactly $15,840) MILLIDIA

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.