Do I ship it?

GamesParty-Based RPGParty-Based RPG + Puzzle

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Puzzle Party-Based RPG?

Party-Based RPG + Puzzle

Of 32 developers who shipped a Puzzle Party-Based RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 60 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.7k, ×4.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $160k, ×258 the market median. Revenue is down 60% on the market; 60 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 60% on the market, 60 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Party-Based RPG + Puzzle
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 32
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5k → $12k → $16k → $3.3k → $1.3k → $0 (still earning) → $33k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Party-Based RPG + Puzzle: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 32
Bottom 30% $479 (exactly $479)
Median $2.7k (exactly $2,697)
Top 25% $24k (exactly $24,325)
Top 5% $162k (exactly $161,935)
Developers, 2 yr 32
Released games 106
Announced 60
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Party-Based RPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Puzzle
effort 2 / 10 · high · discrete rules, levels are data

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Party-Based RPG, Puzzle; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Exploration, Adventure
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Lore-Rich, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 2,529 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $2.7k, 1 in 4 over $24k, 1 in 20 over $160k.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 9 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 60 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Party-Based RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Board GameFair24 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  2. + Point & ClickFair17 devs · median $2.5k · 20 announced
  3. + 2D PlatformerFair55 devs · median $599 · 42 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair15 devs · median $479 · 16 announced
  5. + Martial ArtsPoor odds5 devs · median $230k · 16 announced
  6. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $49k · 25 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds23 devs · median $34k · 71 announced
  8. + BuildingPoor odds12 devs · median $32k · 37 announced
  9. + AutomationPoor odds14 devs · median $21k · 28 announced
  10. + Turn-BasedPoor odds67 devs · median $19k · 76 announced
  11. + Base BuildingPoor odds19 devs · median $19k · 51 announced
  12. + IncrementalPoor odds18 devs · median $15k · 45 announced

All 111 pairs on the Party-Based RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Legend of Grimrock 2 older $23.99 3,065 90% 92k $2.2M (exactly $2,205,880) Almost Human Games
Legend of Grimrock older $14.99 4,844 93% 145k $2.2M (exactly $2,178,347) Almost Human Games
Shadows: Awakening older $29.99 1,535 75% 46k $1.4M (exactly $1,381,040) Games Farm
CHRONO CROSS: THE RADICAL DREAMERS EDITION older $19.99 2,174 62% 65k $1.3M (exactly $1,303,748) Square Enix, D4Enterprise Co.,Ltd.
THE 4 SINS older $9.99 3,377 23% 101k $1.0M (exactly $1,012,087) 奇门互娱
The Bard's Tale IV: Director's Cut older $34.99 694 77% 21k $728k (exactly $728,492) inXile Entertainment
Ledgerbound $29.99 562 92% 17k $506k (exactly $505,631) OmniMegaSuperCorp
Operencia: The Stolen Sun older $29.99 537 76% 16k $483k (exactly $483,139) Zen Studios
Potato Flowers in Full Bloom older $17.99 654 95% 20k $353k (exactly $352,964) Pon Pon Games
Aarklash: Legacy older $15.99 599 76% 18k $287k (exactly $287,340) Cyanide Studio
The Lonesome Guild $24.99 216 94% 6.5k $162k (exactly $161,935) Tiny Bull Studios
Flowstone Saga $17.99 172 81% 5.2k $93k (exactly $92,828) Impact Gameworks
Chained in the Backrooms · EA $2.99 933 68% 28k $84k (exactly $83,690) Task+ Studios
The Darkness Below $16.99 78 80% 2.3k $40k (exactly $39,757) ELEFTHERIADIS SAVVAS
SCRIBBLE HUNT $3.99 302 81% 9.1k $36k (exactly $36,149) SCRIBBLE BUNNY
OUTCLAW $24.99 44 93% 1.3k $33k (exactly $32,987) Moss Monkey
Vessel $6.99 116 17% 3.5k $24k (exactly $24,325) OJStudio
Chaos Entropy $11.00 48 89% 1.4k $16k (exactly $15,840) MILLIDIA
Ekorella Vol 1 $6.99 58 100% 1.7k $12k (exactly $12,163) Rockmaker Team

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.