Do I ship it?

Games › Party-Based RPG › Party-Based RPG + Procedural Generation

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Procedural Generation Party-Based RPG?

Party-Based RPG + Procedural Generation

Of 50 developers who shipped a Procedural Generation Party-Based RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 109 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $13k, ×21 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.7k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.6M, ×2620 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 109 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 20.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 109 announced, ×3.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Party-Based RPG + Procedural Generation
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 50
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.7k → $16k → $106k → $22k → $73k → $12k → $21k (still earning) → $6.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Party-Based RPG + Procedural Generation: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 50
Bottom 30% $2.7k (exactly $2,696)
Median $13k (exactly $13,041)
Top 25% $81k (exactly $81,396)
Top 5% $1.6M (exactly $1,645,577)
Developers, 2 yr 50
Released games 127
Announced 109
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Party-Based RPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Procedural Generation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Party-Based RPG, Procedural Generation; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Strategy, Roguelike
Price point
$11.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 17,003 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.7k, median $13k, 1 in 4 over $81k, 1 in 20 over $1.6M.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.7k. 6 in 10 of the 22 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 109 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Party-Based RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Board GameFair24 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  2. + Point & ClickFair17 devs · median $2.5k · 20 announced
  3. + 2D PlatformerFair55 devs · median $599 · 42 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair15 devs · median $479 · 16 announced
  5. + Martial ArtsPoor odds5 devs · median $230k · 16 announced
  6. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $49k · 25 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds23 devs · median $34k · 71 announced
  8. + BuildingPoor odds12 devs · median $32k · 37 announced
  9. + AutomationPoor odds14 devs · median $21k · 28 announced
  10. + Turn-BasedPoor odds67 devs · median $19k · 76 announced
  11. + Base BuildingPoor odds19 devs · median $19k · 51 announced
  12. + IncrementalPoor odds18 devs · median $15k · 45 announced

All 111 pairs on the Party-Based RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Darkest Dungeon® II 2023 · $29M Wildermyth 2021 · $12M Keep Driving 2025 · $3.3M Gordian Quest 2022 · $3.2M Aethermancer 2025 · EA · $2.0M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Darkest Dungeon® II older $39.99 24,249 74% 727k $29M (exactly $29,091,525) Red Hook Studios
Wildermyth older $24.99 16,316 94% 489k $12M (exactly $12,232,105) Worldwalker Games LLC
Keep Driving $17.99 6,188 93% 186k $3.3M (exactly $3,339,664) YCJY Games
Gordian Quest older $19.99 5,259 88% 158k $3.2M (exactly $3,153,822) Mixed Realms Pte Ltd, Swag Soft Holding… (Mixed Realms Pte Ltd, Swag Soft Holdings Pte Ltd)
Aethermancer · EA $25.99 2,585 91% 78k $2.0M (exactly $2,015,524) moi rai games
Dead Age older $14.99 4,407 83% 132k $2.0M (exactly $1,981,828) Silent Dreams
The Last Flame $19.99 2,744 85% 82k $1.6M (exactly $1,645,577) Hotloop
Siralim Ultimate older $19.99 2,145 92% 64k $1.3M (exactly $1,286,356) Thylacine Studios
Dwarves: Glory, Death and Loot $14.99 2,588 82% 78k $1.2M (exactly $1,163,824) Hamma Studios
Journey to the West older $19.99 1,470 79% 44k $882k (exactly $881,559) Z Studio
Viractal: Will You Trust Your Party? $24.99 448 88% 13k $336k (exactly $335,866) Sting
Sandwalkers $19.99 490 73% 15k $294k (exactly $293,853) Goblinz Studio
Dimensionals $19.99 486 79% 15k $291k (exactly $291,454) Mino Games
Dobbel Dungeon $19.99 441 92% 13k $264k (exactly $264,468) Gamepie
Seer's Gambit $14.99 490 76% 15k $220k (exactly $220,353) Unleash The Giraffe
Kādomon: Hyper Auto Battlers $9.99 543 65% 16k $163k (exactly $162,737) Dino Rocket

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.