Do I ship it?

Games › Time Management › Time Management + Noir

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Noir Time Management game?

Time Management + Noir

Only 12 developers shipped a Noir Time Management game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Mindcop, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 47 more are announced, ×6.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240, ×0.5 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120. 47 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.7 per shipper, while revenue is up 185% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 185% on the market, 47 announced, ×6.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Time Management + Noir
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.3k → $150 → $210 → $718 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Time Management + Noir: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $240 (exactly $240)
Top 25% $1.8k (exactly $1,799)
Top 5% $186k (exactly $185,726)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 33
Announced 47
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 185% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Time Management
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Noir
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Time Management
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 92% positive over 474 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $240, 1 in 4 over $1.7k, 1 in 20 over $180k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 47 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Time Management with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dungeon CrawlerFair35 devs · median $7.0k · 44 announced
  2. + ProgrammingFair15 devs · median $7.0k · 26 announced
  3. + Inventory ManagementFair181 devs · median $2.9k · 228 announced
  4. + AgricultureFair57 devs · median $2.3k · 73 announced
  5. + Time TravelFair17 devs · median $2.2k · 19 announced
  6. + ZombiesFair27 devs · median $2.1k · 29 announced
  7. + LootFair34 devs · median $1.5k · 47 announced
  8. + Turn-Based TacticsFair65 devs · median $1.4k · 69 announced
  9. + AutomationFair162 devs · median $1.2k · 191 announced
  10. + Bullet HellFair11 devs · median $1.2k · 15 announced
  11. + ThrillerFair42 devs · median $1.1k · 65 announced
  12. + Artificial IntelligenceFair53 devs · median $1.0k · 65 announced

All 179 pairs on the Time Management page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

For the People 2020 · $372k Mindcop 2024 · $186k Air Traffic: Greenlight 2022 · $47k The Kindeman Remedy 2023 · $40k Rough Justice: '84 2023 · $40k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
For the People older $16.99 729 73% 22k $372k (exactly $371,571) Brezg Studio
Mindcop $14.99 413 94% 12k $186k (exactly $185,726) Andre Gareis
Air Traffic: Greenlight older $7.99 198 93% 5.9k $47k (exactly $47,461) GyroX
The Kindeman Remedy older $4.99 270 67% 8.1k $40k (exactly $40,419) Troglobytes Games
Rough Justice: '84 older $19.99 67 64% 2.0k $40k (exactly $40,180) Gamma Minus
Grand Cru: The Wine Maker $14.99 37 86% 1.1k $17k (exactly $16,639) hAi Corp
Destination Ares older $9.99 21 38% 630 $6.3k (exactly $6,294) Pat Scott
DARK MINUTE: Kira's Adventure older $12.99 12 66% 360 $4.7k (exactly $4,676) KovalGames
GunFu Fighter older $4.99 29 68% 870 $4.3k (exactly $4,341) ZHANG FAN
Pixel Gangsters: Mafia Manager older $9.99 14 85% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Gidib Games
Bomb Squad $14.99 4 100% 120 $1.8k (exactly $1,799) International Headquarters
天道轮回：我的修仙梦 $5.99 8 37% 240 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) Kaka Ku Games Inc.
Your Price, Your Honor. $2.99 8 62% 240 $718 (exactly $718) Red Comb Studios
Whodunnit: the Midnight Murder Mystery Files $7.99 1 0% 30 $240 (exactly $240) Sandalfoot Games
Agents of Shadow $6.99 1 100% 30 $210 (exactly $210) Hoffnung Haydn
Aleator $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) the Millennium Bug
Whispers of Kelsden $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Sunwake Games
Monitoring $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) 摇光

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.