Games › Turn-Based Tactics › Turn-Based Tactics + Ninja
Should I ship a Ninja Turn-Based Tactics?
Turn-Based Tactics + Ninja
Only 9 developers shipped a Ninja Turn-Based Tactics in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Arashi Gaiden, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $720, ×1.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $19k, ×31 the market median. Revenue is down 75% on the market; 13 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $210 (exactly $210) |
|---|---|
| Median | $719 (exactly $719) |
| Top 25% | $3.3k (exactly $3,297) |
| Top 5% | $19k (exactly $19,181) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 37 |
| Announced | 13 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Turn-Based Tactics
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Ninja
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Turn-Based Tactics
- Price point
- $7.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.
The top 10 games average 88% positive over 8,953 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $210. 13 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Turn-Based Tactics with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + TanksFair
- + AutomationFair
- + ProgrammingFair
- + DiceFair
- + MiningFair
- + Time ManagementFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Psychological HorrorFair
- + Traditional RoguelikeFair
- + PsychologicalFair
- + PuzzleFair
- + PlatformerLong shot
Comparable games
Shogun Showdown 2024 · $2.8M 
RONIN 2015 · $629k 
Mahokenshi - The Samurai Deckbuilder 2023 · $348k 
Sengoku Jidai: Shadow of the Shogun 2016 · $155k 
NOBUNAGA'S AMBITION: Soutenroku with Power Up Kit 2017 · $76k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Shogun Showdown | older | $14.99 | 6,197 95% | 186k | $2.8M (exactly $2,786,791) | Roboatino |
| | RONIN | older | $12.99 | 1,613 71% | 48k | $629k (exactly $628,586) | Tomasz Wacławek |
| | Mahokenshi - The Samurai Deckbuilder | older | $24.99 | 464 77% | 14k | $348k (exactly $347,861) | Game Source Studio |
| | Sengoku Jidai: Shadow of the Shogun | older | $29.99 | 172 73% | 5.2k | $155k (exactly $154,748) | Byzantine Games |
| | NOBUNAGA'S AMBITION: Soutenroku with Power Up Kit | older | $29.99 | 85 62% | 2.6k | $76k (exactly $76,474) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. |
 | Treachery in Beatdown City | older | $19.99 | 72 76% | 2.2k | $43k (exactly $43,178) | NuChallenger, HurakanWorks |
 | Red Ronin | older | $7.99 | 119 87% | 3.6k | $29k (exactly $28,524) | Wired Dreams Studio |
 | Arashi Gaiden | $9.99 | 64 95% | 1.9k | $19k (exactly $19,181) | Statera Studio, Wired Dreams Studio | |
 | Devils' Night Party | older | $5.99 | 92 53% | 2.8k | $17k (exactly $16,532) | NAGATOUI |
 | 无限投影2 | older | $3.99 | 75 41% | 2.3k | $9.0k (exactly $8,978) | A2 Game Studio |
 | Shogi | $7.99 | 14 71% | 420 | $3.4k (exactly $3,356) | Popoko VM Games | |
 | NINDO Guardian of the Starlit Shadow | · EA | $9.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $3.3k (exactly $3,297) | MORIKICHIDO |
 | Last Shinobi | $8.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $809 (exactly $809) | Dark Tomato Studio | |
 | Disintegral | $11.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $719 (exactly $719) | Will Sykes Games | |
 | YATTY - Dice Card Battle - | $4.99 | 3 33% | 90 | $449 (exactly $449) | yappy0110 | |
 | Kunoichi's Cadence | $6.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $210 (exactly $210) | CodeBlues | |
 | Ninja Numpties | $2.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | JJ H-E | |
 | Yomi-no-kuni | · EA | $3.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | KZ Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.