Do I ship it?

GamesPuzzle PlatformerPuzzle Platformer + Ninja

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Ninja Puzzle Platformer?

Puzzle Platformer + Ninja

Only 8 developers shipped a Ninja Puzzle Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ninja Ming, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 8 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $810 against a market of $630. 8 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 8 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Puzzle Platformer + Ninja
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.3k → $899 → $629 → $3.0k
Outcomes for Puzzle Platformer + Ninja: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $809 (exactly $809)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $11,691)
Top 5% $18k (exactly $17,682)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 36
Announced 8
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 65% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Puzzle Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Ninja
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Puzzle Platformer
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 4,247 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $810, 1 in 4 over $11k, 1 in 20 over $17k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 8 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Puzzle Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceFair41 devs · median $1.5k · 38 announced
  2. + Inventory ManagementFair20 devs · median $1.1k · 26 announced
  3. + Life SimFair20 devs · median $657 · 21 announced
  4. + SimulationFair216 devs · median $479 · 181 announced
  5. + Grid-Based MovementFair62 devs · median $449 · 56 announced
  6. + SokobanFair51 devs · median $358 · 49 announced
  7. + LovecraftianPoor odds11 devs · median $9.3k · 22 announced
  8. + Co-op CampaignPoor odds26 devs · median $9.0k · 53 announced
  9. + MetroidvaniaPoor odds91 devs · median $5.3k · 264 announced
  10. + SwordplayPoor odds8 devs · median $4.2k · 19 announced
  11. + Split ScreenPoor odds24 devs · median $3.6k · 35 announced
  12. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $3.0k · 80 announced

All 169 pairs on the Puzzle Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
N++ (NPLUSPLUS) older $14.99 2,825 95% 85k $1.3M (exactly $1,270,402) Metanet Software Inc.
Sumoman older $11.99 542 79% 16k $195k (exactly $194,957) Tequilabyte Studio
Armed with Wings: Rearmed older $9.99 406 87% 12k $122k (exactly $121,678) Sun-Studios
10 Second Ninja X older $9.99 306 84% 9.2k $92k (exactly $91,708) Four Circle Interactive
Ninja Ming $9.99 59 94% 1.8k $18k (exactly $17,682) 1 Poss Studio
Atomic Owl $12.99 30 90% 900 $12k (exactly $11,691) Monster Theater
Knife To Meet You older $14.99 13 100% 390 $5.8k (exactly $5,846) Mate Magyar
Cyjin: The Cyborg Ninja older $9.99 19 84% 570 $5.7k (exactly $5,694) Aiya Games
Super Ninja Miner older $4.99 25 100% 750 $3.7k (exactly $3,742) SilenGames
Perfect Ninja Painter older $4.99 22 100% 660 $3.3k (exactly $3,293) SilenGames
Kimono Cats $8.99 11 100% 330 $3.0k (exactly $2,967) HumaNature Studios
Ninja Ming: Wu $1.99 48 100% 1.4k $2.9k (exactly $2,866) 1 Poss Studio
Last Shinobi $8.99 3 100% 90 $809 (exactly $809) Dark Tomato Studio
Sengoku Logic - Kumamoto Castle $6.99 3 33% 90 $629 (exactly $629) acdea computer
The Legend of URE $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) James H. Van der Meulen
Stranded at Sea $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Owen Delwiche, Preston Lindley, James G… (Owen Delwiche, Preston Lindley, James Goodwin)
Ninja: ShadowBlade $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Sumit Katekar

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.