Do I ship it?

GamesProcedural GenerationProcedural Generation + Ninja

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Ninja Procedural Generation game?

Procedural Generation + Ninja

Only 5 developers shipped a Ninja Procedural Generation game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Shadowed: The Demon Castle of Ooe, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $5.9k against a market of $630. 11 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 9.3 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 11 announced, ×3.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Procedural Generation + Ninja
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 5

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Procedural Generation + Ninja: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $809 (exactly $809)
Median $5.9k (exactly $5,850)
Top 25% $7.5k (exactly $7,492)
Top 5% $27k (exactly $26,863)
Developers, 2 yr 5
Released games 27
Announced 11
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Procedural Generation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Ninja
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Procedural Generation
Price point
$8.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 11,281 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $810, median $5.9k, 1 in 4 over $7.4k, 1 in 20 over $26k.

3 in 10 developers made under $810. 11 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Procedural Generation with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SnowFair11 devs · median $3.0k · 16 announced
  2. + Traditional RoguelikeFair71 devs · median $2.0k · 93 announced
  3. + DetectiveFair29 devs · median $1.5k · 30 announced
  4. + Word GameFair22 devs · median $1.3k · 23 announced
  5. + TypingFair26 devs · median $1.1k · 11 announced
  6. + IdlerFair98 devs · median $807 · 107 announced
  7. + LogicFair137 devs · median $478 · 149 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair57 devs · median $449 · 62 announced
  9. + Precision PlatformerFair49 devs · median $449 · 42 announced
  10. + Hidden ObjectFair58 devs · median $418 · 56 announced
  11. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds31 devs · median $77k · 95 announced
  12. + TrainsPoor odds22 devs · median $30k · 35 announced

All 222 pairs on the Procedural Generation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Shogun Showdown older $14.99 6,197 95% 186k $2.8M (exactly $2,786,791) Roboatino
Super House of Dead Ninjas older $19.99 1,470 96% 44k $882k (exactly $881,559) Megadev
Bing in Wonderland older $8.99 2,020 97% 61k $545k (exactly $544,794) Wanba Studio
Samurai Bringer older $9.99 1,012 87% 30k $303k (exactly $303,296) ALPHAWING Inc.
Ed-0: Zombie Uprising older $29.99 211 72% 6.3k $190k (exactly $189,837) LANCARSE
Ninja Soul older $9.99 119 74% 3.6k $36k (exactly $35,664) Ash Game Studio
Straimium Immortaly older $6.99 157 89% 4.7k $33k (exactly $32,923) caiys
Shadowed: The Demon Castle of Ooe $15.99 56 92% 1.7k $27k (exactly $26,863) Lab Rabbit Games ltd
Typing Ninja $9.99 25 96% 750 $7.5k (exactly $7,492) Brain Boost Ninja
Ninja or Die: Shadow of the Sun older $14.99 14 57% 420 $6.3k (exactly $6,296) Nao Games
Ninja Remix $5.00 39 74% 1.2k $5.9k (exactly $5,850) Hesoyam
Last Shinobi $8.99 3 100% 90 $809 (exactly $809) Dark Tomato Studio
The Legend of URE $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) James H. Van der Meulen

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.