Games › Visual Novel › Visual Novel + Nature
Should I ship a Nature Visual Novel?
Visual Novel + Nature
Of 78 developers who shipped a Nature Visual Novel in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 90 more are announced, ×2.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×2.5 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $220k, ×467 the market median. Revenue is up 60% on the market; 90 games are announced against 44 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $299 (exactly $299) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.2k (exactly $1,197) |
| Top 25% | $9.9k (exactly $9,890) |
| Top 5% | $222k (exactly $221,889) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 78 |
| Released games | 224 |
| Announced | 90 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 60% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Visual Novel
- effort 2 / 10 · high · script, choices and static art
- Nature
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Visual Novel; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Choices Matter, Choose Your Own Adventure
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Atmospheric, Cute
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 2,899 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 44 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 90 games are announced against 44 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Visual Novel with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + City BuilderStrong odds
- + MusicStrong odds
- + TrainsStrong odds
- + Souls-likeFair
- + MinigamesFair
- + RhythmFair
- + JRPGFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + SwordplayFair
- + GamblingFair
- + DiplomacyFair
Comparable games
Utawarerumono: Prelude to the Fallen 2021 · $2.4M 
SEASON: A letter to the future 2023 · $1.4M 
Monochrome Mobius: Rights and Wrongs Forgotten 2022 · $1.4M 
Chicken Police - Paint it RED! 2020 · $974k 
Summer in Mara 2020 · $878k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Utawarerumono: Prelude to the Fallen | older | $59.99 | 1,328 93% | 40k | $2.4M (exactly $2,390,002) | AQUAPLUS |
| | SEASON: A letter to the future | older | $24.99 | 1,832 93% | 55k | $1.4M (exactly $1,373,450) | Scavengers Studio |
| | Monochrome Mobius: Rights and Wrongs Forgotten | older | $59.99 | 759 80% | 23k | $1.4M (exactly $1,365,972) | AQUAPLUS |
| | Chicken Police - Paint it RED! | older | $19.99 | 1,624 94% | 49k | $974k (exactly $973,913) | The Wild Gentlemen |
| | Summer in Mara | older | $19.99 | 1,464 75% | 44k | $878k (exactly $877,961) | Chibig |
 | Amerzone - The Explorer's Legacy | $39.99 | 526 90% | 16k | $631k (exactly $631,042) | Microids Studio Paris | |
 | Witchy Life Story | older | $19.99 | 965 80% | 29k | $579k (exactly $578,710) | Sundew Studios |
 | Utawarerumono: Past and Present Rediscovered | $59.99 | 289 83% | 8.7k | $520k (exactly $520,113) | AQUAPLUS | |
 | Know by heart | older | $19.99 | 792 89% | 24k | $475k (exactly $474,962) | Ice-Pick Lodge |
 | Camp Buddy: Scoutmaster Season | older | $39.99 | 354 94% | 11k | $425k (exactly $424,694) | BLits Games |
 | Mika and The Witch's Mountain | $19.99 | 671 86% | 20k | $402k (exactly $402,399) | Chibig, Nukefist | |
 | Deer & Boy | $19.99 | 370 94% | 11k | $222k (exactly $221,889) | Lifeline Games | |
 | Asbury Pines | · EA | $12.99 | 558 90% | 17k | $217k (exactly $217,453) | Chaystar Unlimited LLC |
 | Horny: Zero Moan 🔞🦕 | $14.99 | 121 69% | 3.6k | $54k (exactly $54,414) | Lewd Star | |
 | SEXNATURAL: MILFs Must Be Filled 😈💦 | $14.99 | 100 84% | 3.0k | $45k (exactly $44,970) | Juicy Peach Games 🍑 | |
 | Throbbin Hood 🏹🔞 | $14.99 | 99 80% | 3.0k | $45k (exactly $44,520) | BanzaiProject | |
 | Him, the Smile ＆ bloom | $29.99 | 44 88% | 1.3k | $40k (exactly $39,587) | EDIA / TEAM Entertainment Inc. MintLip. | |
 | MILF's Camp🔥 | $9.99 | 121 76% | 3.6k | $36k (exactly $36,264) | Play and Cum 💦 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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