Do I ship it?

Games › Turn-Based Tactics › Turn-Based Tactics + Nature

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Nature Turn-Based Tactics?

Turn-Based Tactics + Nature

Of 51 developers who shipped a Nature Turn-Based Tactics in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 94 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $840, ×1.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $170k, ×274 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 94 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 94 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Tactics + Nature
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 51
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $891 → $1.6k → $1.9k → $1.9k → $839 → $2.1k → $599 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Tactics + Nature: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 51
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $839 (exactly $839)
Top 25% $3.5k (exactly $3,506)
Top 5% $172k (exactly $171,785)
Developers, 2 yr 51
Released games 138
Announced 94
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Nature
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Tactics; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Turn-Based Strategy, PvE
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 2,258 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $840, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $170k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 31 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 94 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Tactics with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TanksFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  2. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced
  3. + ProgrammingFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 16 announced
  4. + DiceFair47 devs · median $1.6k · 53 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  6. + Time ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.4k · 69 announced
  7. + IdlerFair47 devs · median $1.3k · 48 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair55 devs · median $1.0k · 56 announced
  9. + Traditional RoguelikeFair78 devs · median $629 · 95 announced
  10. + PsychologicalFair34 devs · median $629 · 40 announced
  11. + PuzzleFair263 devs · median $598 · 308 announced
  12. + PlatformerLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced

All 189 pairs on the Turn-Based Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Utawarerumono: Prelude to the Fallen 2021 · $2.4M Spirit Island 2020 · $1.2M Insurmountable 2021 · $624k Preserve 2025 · $259k Zoominoes 2026 · $247k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Utawarerumono: Prelude to the Fallen older $59.99 1,328 93% 40k $2.4M (exactly $2,390,002) AQUAPLUS
Spirit Island older $24.99 1,545 91% 46k $1.2M (exactly $1,158,286) Handelabra Games Inc.
Insurmountable older $24.99 832 78% 25k $624k (exactly $623,750) ByteRockers' Games
Preserve $12.49 690 92% 21k $259k (exactly $258,543) Bitmap Galaxy
Zoominoes $14.99 549 91% 16k $247k (exactly $246,885) Starlight Games inc.
Day of the Shell $14.99 382 68% 11k $172k (exactly $171,785) Duper Games
Hive Blight · EA $12.49 367 94% 11k $138k (exactly $137,515) OptizOnion
Super Video Golf older $9.99 342 96% 10k $102k (exactly $102,497) Trederia
Tenderfoot Tactics older $14.99 220 81% 6.6k $99k (exactly $98,934) Kevin Maxon, Michael Bell, Isa Hutchins… (Kevin Maxon, Michael Bell, Isa Hutchinson, Taylor Thomas, Zoe Vartanian, Madison Pathe)
Shields of Loyalty $19.99 140 77% 4.2k $84k (exactly $83,958) Mosaic Mask Studio
Quarterstaff $24.99 18 94% 540 $13k (exactly $13,495) Generic Lake Monster, LLC
K2: Digital Edition $14.99 20 85% 600 $9.0k (exactly $8,994) Devon Games
GUG $5.99 49 34% 1.5k $8.8k (exactly $8,805) Martian Lawyers Club
Beyond the Grove · EA $14.99 18 77% 540 $8.1k (exactly $8,095) Not a Duck
JACKPOISON $8.99 25 44% 750 $6.7k (exactly $6,742) oyajinojiike

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.