Do I ship it?

GamesTime ManagementTime Management + Nature

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Nature Time Management game?

Time Management + Nature

Of 88 developers who shipped a Nature Time Management game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 156 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $750, ×1.6 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $470k, ×1002 the market median. Revenue is down 45% on the market; 156 games are announced against 49 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 45% on the market, 156 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Time Management + Nature
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 88
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.6k → $5.1k → $1.2k → $1.1k → $748 → $629 → $539 (still earning) → $386 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Time Management + Nature: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 88
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $748 (exactly $748)
Top 25% $9.2k (exactly $9,170)
Top 5% $476k (exactly $475,924)
Developers, 2 yr 88
Released games 202
Announced 156
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Time Management
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Nature
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Time Management; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Management, Building
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, Cute, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 52,550 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $750, 1 in 4 over $9.1k, 1 in 20 over $470k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 42 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 156 games are announced against 49 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Time Management with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dungeon CrawlerFair35 devs · median $7.0k · 44 announced
  2. + ProgrammingFair15 devs · median $7.0k · 26 announced
  3. + Inventory ManagementFair181 devs · median $2.9k · 228 announced
  4. + AgricultureFair57 devs · median $2.3k · 73 announced
  5. + Time TravelFair17 devs · median $2.2k · 19 announced
  6. + ZombiesFair27 devs · median $2.1k · 29 announced
  7. + LootFair34 devs · median $1.5k · 47 announced
  8. + Turn-Based TacticsFair65 devs · median $1.4k · 69 announced
  9. + AutomationFair162 devs · median $1.2k · 191 announced
  10. + Bullet HellFair11 devs · median $1.2k · 15 announced
  11. + ThrillerFair42 devs · median $1.1k · 65 announced
  12. + Artificial IntelligenceFair53 devs · median $1.0k · 65 announced

All 179 pairs on the Time Management page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Farming Simulator 25 $29.99 39,681 87% 1.2M $36M (exactly $35,700,996) GIANTS Software
Tiny Bookshop $19.99 6,967 96% 209k $4.2M (exactly $4,178,110) neoludic games
Let's School older $19.99 5,887 92% 177k $3.5M (exactly $3,530,434) Pathea Games
Lawn Mowing Simulator older $19.99 2,126 74% 64k $1.3M (exactly $1,274,962) Skyhook Games
Farmer's Dynasty 2 · EA $24.99 1,225 72% 37k $918k (exactly $918,382) UMEO Studios
Hundred Days - Winemaking Simulator older $24.99 1,033 77% 31k $774k (exactly $774,440) Broken Arms Games
Green Hell VR older $19.99 1,143 57% 34k $685k (exactly $685,457) Incuvo
Coal LLC $14.99 1,343 92% 40k $604k (exactly $603,947) Bye Bye Ocean
The Last Clockwinder older $24.99 776 96% 23k $582k (exactly $581,767) Pontoco
Birdwatching Notebook $9.99 1,588 97% 48k $476k (exactly $475,924) Biekka Games
Cinnabunny $24.99 403 96% 12k $302k (exactly $302,129) Reky Studios
Above the Snow $24.99 383 75% 11k $287k (exactly $287,135) Above the Desk
Asbury Pines · EA $12.99 558 90% 17k $217k (exactly $217,453) Chaystar Unlimited LLC
Life Below $29.99 150 80% 4.5k $135k (exactly $134,955) Megapop
Ranch Farm and Store Simulator $12.99 252 84% 7.6k $98k (exactly $98,204) Bewolba Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.