Do I ship it?

GamesSolitaireSolitaire + Nature

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Nature Solitaire game?

Solitaire + Nature

Only 17 developers shipped a Nature Solitaire game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Zoominoes, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 3 / 10 build. 11 developers shipped in the last year and 9 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 53560% on the market, 9 announced, ×0.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Solitaire + Nature
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $418 → $1.8k → $179 → $150 → $359 (still earning) → $299 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Solitaire + Nature: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $179 (exactly $179)
Top 25% $479 (exactly $479)
Top 5% $247k (exactly $246,885)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 81
Announced 9
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 55% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Solitaire
effort 1 / 10 · high · fixed rules, cards and a table
Nature
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Solitaire; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Card Game, Hidden Object
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, 2D, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 624 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $180, 1 in 4 over $470, 1 in 20 over $240k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 9 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Solitaire with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Female ProtagonistFair9 devs · median $3.3k · 9 announced
  2. + Artificial IntelligenceFair8 devs · median $2.3k · 3 announced
  3. + ManagementFair24 devs · median $1.2k · 17 announced
  4. + Immersive SimFair12 devs · median $1.2k · 9 announced
  5. + MahjongFair20 devs · median $1.1k · 6 announced
  6. + RomanceFair11 devs · median $1.1k · 8 announced
  7. + CraftingFair12 devs · median $809 · 20 announced
  8. + SimulationFair56 devs · median $718 · 46 announced
  9. + FantasyFair48 devs · median $479 · 39 announced
  10. + TacticalFair25 devs · median $479 · 22 announced
  11. + SportsFair14 devs · median $479 · 5 announced
  12. + Turn-Based CombatFair26 devs · median $450 · 31 announced

All 77 pairs on the Solitaire page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Zoominoes $14.99 549 91% 16k $247k (exactly $246,885) Starlight Games inc.
Solitaire Beach Season older $14.99 88 76% 2.6k $40k (exactly $39,574) Creobit
Tents and Trees older $9.99 42 90% 1.3k $13k (exactly $12,587) Frozax Games
Hidden Memory - Nature older $4.99 77 87% 2.3k $12k (exactly $11,527) YAW Studios
Sakura Day Mahjong older $14.99 25 72% 750 $11k (exactly $11,242) Creobit
Instant Farmer - Logic Puzzle older $1.99 160 91% 4.8k $9.6k (exactly $9,552) Mens Sana Interactive
Buddy and Lucky Solitaire older $2.99 97 82% 2.9k $8.7k (exactly $8,701) Mens Sana Interactive
Goritaire $4.99 40 92% 1.2k $6.0k (exactly $5,988) Arc System Works
Twistingo: Bird Paradise Collector's Edition older $9.99 16 93% 480 $4.8k (exactly $4,795) MixoGames Ltd.
Nature Mahjong older $14.99 8 37% 240 $3.6k (exactly $3,598) Melon Games
Twistingo: Tree of Life Collector’s Edition $9.99 6 83% 180 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) MixoGames Ltd.
🌸 Lofi Mahjong 🌸 $4.99 12 91% 360 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) Gossiam Games
Jixo: Summer Dreams Collector's Edition $9.99 5 100% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) MixoGames Ltd.
One Step Further $7.99 2 100% 60 $479 (exactly $479) SlidMount
Cational Meographic $5.99 2 100% 60 $359 (exactly $359) AyiBoardgameCraft
Cosmo in Tarot: Tarot Study Simulator $4.99 2 0% 60 $299 (exactly $299) YemixGames
Go! Chicken Jump! $1.99 3 100% 90 $179 (exactly $179) YOUBEE
AGameAboutFishing $1.99 3 100% 90 $179 (exactly $179) CreativityMindsGameStudio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.