Do I ship it?

GamesImmersive SimImmersive Sim + Solitaire

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Solitaire Immersive Sim?

Immersive Sim + Solitaire

Only 12 developers shipped a Solitaire Immersive Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Sherman Commander, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×0.8 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $300. Revenue is up 1675% on the market; 9 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 1675% on the market, 9 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Immersive Sim + Solitaire
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $267 → $0 → $809 → $3.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Immersive Sim + Solitaire: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,197)
Top 25% $3.8k (exactly $3,775)
Top 5% $105k (exactly $105,265)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 31
Announced 9
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1675% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Immersive Sim
effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
Solitaire
effort 1 / 10 · high · fixed rules, cards and a table

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Immersive Sim, Solitaire
Price point
$8.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 71% positive over 222 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $3.7k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 9 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Immersive Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds112 devs · median $63k · 58 announced
  2. + Trading Card GameStrong odds18 devs · median $30k · 13 announced
  3. + MinigamesStrong odds15 devs · median $24k · 11 announced
  4. + WesternStrong odds17 devs · median $4.4k · 14 announced
  5. + BoxingStrong odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 12 announced
  6. + Job SimulatorFair152 devs · median $20k · 180 announced
  7. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair8 devs · median $17k · 10 announced
  8. + Dating SimFair295 devs · median $13k · 296 announced
  9. + RomanceFair254 devs · median $12k · 266 announced
  10. + LGBTQ+Fair87 devs · median $11k · 93 announced
  11. + Visual NovelFair399 devs · median $7.8k · 453 announced
  12. + Split ScreenFair12 devs · median $6.0k · 14 announced

All 219 pairs on the Immersive Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sherman Commander $29.99 117 64% 3.5k $105k (exactly $105,265) Iron Wolf Studio S.A.
GLASS2 older $3.99 204 76% 6.1k $24k (exactly $24,419) TeamSnowball
Pro Strategy Football 2026 $24.99 28 89% 840 $21k (exactly $20,992) Kerry Batts
SUBARACITY older $4.99 26 61% 780 $3.9k (exactly $3,892) ESQUADRA,inc.
Roulette Heist $6.99 18 94% 540 $3.8k (exactly $3,775) DreamArk Lab
Pazleum · EA $9.90 10 90% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,970) Pazl Studio
Forest 6174 $2.99 29 82% 870 $2.6k (exactly $2,601) itandfeel
Day at the Races older $4.99 8 62% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Friday Night Software
Slash Cash $3.99 10 30% 300 $1.2k (exactly $1,197) AnythingGames
Jessie 'Boom' James - a jigsaw chess tale older $1.99 16 93% 480 $955 (exactly $955) Minimol Games
手机时代 Mobile era $8.99 3 33% 90 $809 (exactly $809) LI XIAOLEI
Beach Boys: Zodiac date $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Red Fables
Waifu Cards $4.99 2 50% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Slippy Floor
桌面塔罗 Desktop Tarot $1.99 4 100% 120 $239 (exactly $239) SpaceWizard64

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.