Do I ship it?

GamesSolitaireSolitaire + Artificial Intelligence

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an AI Solitaire game?

Solitaire + Artificial Intelligence

Only 8 developers shipped an AI Solitaire game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, BidKing, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 3 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.3k, ×4.9 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $720. Revenue is up 620% on the market; 3 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 620% on the market, 3 announced, ×0.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Solitaire + Artificial Intelligence
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Solitaire + Artificial Intelligence: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $719 (exactly $719)
Median $2.3k (exactly $2,307)
Top 25% $21k (exactly $20,992)
Top 5% $2.0M (exactly $1,994,749)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 30
Announced 3
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 620% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Solitaire
effort 1 / 10 · high · fixed rules, cards and a table
Artificial Intelligence
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Solitaire
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 34% positive over 22,805 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $2.3k, 1 in 4 over $20k, 1 in 20 over $1.9M.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 3 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Solitaire with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Female ProtagonistFair9 devs · median $3.3k · 9 announced
  2. + ManagementFair24 devs · median $1.2k · 17 announced
  3. + Immersive SimFair12 devs · median $1.2k · 9 announced
  4. + MahjongFair20 devs · median $1.1k · 6 announced
  5. + RomanceFair11 devs · median $1.1k · 8 announced
  6. + CraftingFair12 devs · median $809 · 20 announced
  7. + SimulationFair56 devs · median $718 · 46 announced
  8. + FantasyFair48 devs · median $479 · 39 announced
  9. + TacticalFair25 devs · median $479 · 22 announced
  10. + SportsFair14 devs · median $479 · 5 announced
  11. + Turn-Based CombatFair26 devs · median $450 · 31 announced
  12. + Card BattlerLong shot77 devs · median $299 · 79 announced

All 77 pairs on the Solitaire page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
BidKing $2.99 22,238 33% 667k $2.0M (exactly $1,994,749) MindSurge Network & Games
Tsuro - The Game of The Path older $9.99 134 91% 4.0k $40k (exactly $40,160) Thunderbox Entertainment
Pro Strategy Football 2023 older $14.99 71 84% 2.1k $32k (exactly $31,929) Kerry Batts
Pro Strategy Football 2022 older $12.99 81 86% 2.4k $32k (exactly $31,566) Kerry Batts
Pro Strategy Football 2024 older $19.99 46 78% 1.4k $28k (exactly $27,586) Kerry Batts
Kemono Mahjong older $4.99 142 89% 4.3k $21k (exactly $21,257) Cyberdog Software
Pro Strategy Football 2026 $24.99 28 89% 840 $21k (exactly $20,992) Kerry Batts
Pro Strategy Football 2025 older $19.99 23 78% 690 $14k (exactly $13,793) Kerry Batts
Office Elevator older $4.99 37 81% 1.1k $5.5k (exactly $5,539) Punx Studios
Pro Strategy Football 2027 $24.99 5 60% 150 $3.7k (exactly $3,748) Kerry Batts
Sudoku $4.99 20 75% 600 $3.0k (exactly $2,994) Popoko VM Games
N in One Card: Klondike, Spider, FreeCell, Hearts & Blackjack $6.99 11 100% 330 $2.3k (exactly $2,307) Pixel Dance
Easy Mahjong $4.99 5 80% 150 $748 (exactly $748) Angelo Stambelos
Disintegral $11.99 2 100% 60 $719 (exactly $719) Will Sykes Games
乐吧斗地主 $3.99 4 75% 120 $479 (exactly $479) 乐吧娱乐
Bluff Card Game $0.99 2 100% 60 $59 (exactly $59) HaHaHaGame

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.