Do I ship it?

Games › Sokoban › Sokoban + Nature

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Nature Sokoban?

Sokoban + Nature

Only 14 developers shipped a Nature Sokoban in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Toroban, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.6 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $36k, ×76 the market median. Revenue is down 15% on the market; 26 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 15% on the market, 26 announced, ×3.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Sokoban + Nature
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $748 → $4.3k → $7.2k → $298 → $4.8k → $629 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Sokoban + Nature: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $298 (exactly $298)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,256)
Top 25% $4.8k (exactly $4,790)
Top 5% $36k (exactly $36,000)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 66
Announced 26
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 15% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Sokoban
effort 2 / 10 · high · grid pushing rules and level files
Nature
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Sokoban; all of the top 25% also carry Grid-Based Movement, Logic, Puzzle
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $20.00 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, 2D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $20.00 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 96% positive over 246 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $4.7k, 1 in 20 over $36k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. All of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Sokoban with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CollectathonFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 9 announced
  2. + Turn-Based StrategyFair11 devs · median $2.1k · 11 announced
  3. + CatsFair15 devs · median $776 · 16 announced
  4. + LogicFair203 devs · median $718 · 176 announced
  5. + Grid-Based MovementFair143 devs · median $657 · 135 announced
  6. + PuzzleFair294 devs · median $599 · 288 announced
  7. + ProgrammingFair8 devs · median $599 · 10 announced
  8. + 3D PlatformerFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  9. + StrategyFair141 devs · median $539 · 125 announced
  10. + Puzzle PlatformerFair51 devs · median $358 · 49 announced
  11. + FuturisticLong shot21 devs · median $179 · 20 announced
  12. + Open WorldPoor odds6 devs · median $19k · 16 announced

All 50 pairs on the Sokoban page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Drag and Drop Medieval 2024 · $82k Yugo Puzzle 2021 · $59k Toroban 2025 · $36k Prickle 2024 · $18k Headlong Hunt 2023 · $17k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Drag and Drop Medieval older $29.99 91 85% 2.7k $82k (exactly $81,873) Galactic Geckon
Yugo Puzzle older $5.99 327 98% 9.8k $59k (exactly $58,762) Qrostar
Toroban $20.00 60 86% 1.8k $36k (exactly $36,000) Hebert Games LLC
Prickle $6.99 87 100% 2.6k $18k (exactly $18,244) Sunbird Studio
Headlong Hunt older $11.99 47 100% 1.4k $17k (exactly $16,906) Toombler Games
Bunny's Flowers older $7.99 66 98% 2.0k $16k (exactly $15,820) zuza
Wilderplace older $12.99 29 100% 870 $11k (exactly $11,301) Saman Bemel-Benrud, Micah Fitch, Tom Lu… (Saman Bemel-Benrud, Micah Fitch, Tom Lubanovic)
Wise Garden older $9.99 26 92% 780 $7.8k (exactly $7,792) Double Machine
Of Mice and Moggies older $7.99 32 96% 960 $7.7k (exactly $7,670) Bippinbits
Mycelium Heaven $9.99 24 95% 720 $7.2k (exactly $7,193) 3DGoblinDev
Double Trip $4.99 32 100% 960 $4.8k (exactly $4,790) MaxyLAND
Hopping Out $7.99 8 100% 240 $1.9k (exactly $1,918) KamilFirma
Soko Spectacle $4.99 9 100% 270 $1.3k (exactly $1,347) Jeremy Bouin
Drill-Ceratops $2.99 14 100% 420 $1.3k (exactly $1,256) Oskkarz_
Logissey $6.99 3 100% 90 $629 (exactly $629) Matthew Nagy
Verdantis $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Adam Góral
Say Cheese $1.99 5 80% 150 $298 (exactly $298) Dudeeki

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.