Do I ship it?

Games › Puzzle Platformer › Puzzle Platformer + Nature

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Nature Puzzle Platformer?

Puzzle Platformer + Nature

Of 110 developers who shipped a Nature Puzzle Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 224 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.9 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90; 1 in 20 cleared $370k, ×794 the market median. Revenue is down 15% on the market; 224 games are announced against 64 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 15% on the market, 224 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Puzzle Platformer + Nature
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 110
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $450 → $1.2k → $269 → $299 → $1.2k → $449 → $1.2k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Puzzle Platformer + Nature: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 110
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $450 (exactly $450)
Top 25% $4.3k (exactly $4,290)
Top 5% $377k (exactly $377,211)
Developers, 2 yr 110
Released games 349
Announced 224
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.50

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 15% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Puzzle Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Nature
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Puzzle Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Puzzle, Platformer
Price point
$5.50 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, Colorful, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.50.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 20,885 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $450, 1 in 4 over $4.2k, 1 in 20 over $370k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 9 in 10 of the 59 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 224 games are announced against 64 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Puzzle Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceFair41 devs · median $1.5k · 38 announced
  2. + Inventory ManagementFair20 devs · median $1.1k · 26 announced
  3. + Life SimFair20 devs · median $657 · 21 announced
  4. + SimulationFair216 devs · median $479 · 181 announced
  5. + Grid-Based MovementFair62 devs · median $449 · 56 announced
  6. + SokobanFair51 devs · median $358 · 49 announced
  7. + LovecraftianPoor odds11 devs · median $9.3k · 22 announced
  8. + Co-op CampaignPoor odds26 devs · median $9.0k · 53 announced
  9. + MetroidvaniaPoor odds91 devs · median $5.3k · 264 announced
  10. + SwordplayPoor odds8 devs · median $4.2k · 19 announced
  11. + Split ScreenPoor odds24 devs · median $3.6k · 35 announced
  12. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $3.0k · 80 announced

All 169 pairs on the Puzzle Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

FAR: Lone Sails 2018 · $11M Neva 2024 · $5.6M Webbed 2021 · $4.1M Never Alone (Kisima Ingitchuna) 2014 · $2.6M Öoo 2025 · $2.0M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
FAR: Lone Sails older $14.99 24,474 95% 734k $11M (exactly $11,005,958) Okomotive
Neva $19.99 9,343 93% 280k $5.6M (exactly $5,602,997) Nomada Studio
Webbed older $9.99 13,820 97% 415k $4.1M (exactly $4,141,854) Sbug Games
Never Alone (Kisima Ingitchuna) older $14.99 5,812 81% 174k $2.6M (exactly $2,613,656) Upper One Games, E-Line Media
Öoo $9.99 6,575 99% 197k $2.0M (exactly $1,970,528) NamaTakahashi, tiny cactus studio, Tsuy… (NamaTakahashi, tiny cactus studio, Tsuyomi)
Arise: A Simple Story older $19.99 2,723 91% 82k $1.6M (exactly $1,632,983) Piccolo Studio
Hoa older $14.99 2,562 89% 77k $1.2M (exactly $1,152,131) Skrollcat Studio
Spirit of the North 2 $29.99 934 85% 28k $840k (exactly $840,320) Infuse Studio
Seasons after Fall older $9.99 2,376 80% 71k $712k (exactly $712,087) Swing Swing Submarine
Snake Pass older $19.99 1,176 87% 35k $705k (exactly $705,247) Sumo Digital
Darwin's Paradox! $24.99 843 87% 25k $632k (exactly $631,997) ZDT Studio
TETRIS® THE GRAND MASTER 4 -ABSOLUTE EYE- $24.99 610 87% 18k $457k (exactly $457,317) ARIKA
Gecko Gods $19.99 629 96% 19k $377k (exactly $377,211) Inresin
Deer & Boy $19.99 370 94% 11k $222k (exactly $221,889) Lifeline Games
EMUUROM $12.49 302 90% 9.1k $113k (exactly $113,159) borbware
Log Riders $4.99 660 70% 20k $99k (exactly $98,802) Bluespy Studios
Chained Wheels $4.99 619 69% 19k $93k (exactly $92,664) Karga Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.