Do I ship it?

Games › Platformer › Platformer + Nature

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Nature Platformer?

Platformer + Nature

Of 254 developers who shipped a Nature Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 428 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 3 / 10 build. 142 developers shipped in the last year and 428 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 80% on the market, 428 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Platformer + Nature
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 254
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $449 → $1.1k → $299 → $359 → $419 → $386 → $599 (still earning) → $90 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Platformer + Nature: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 254
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $2.7k (exactly $2,697)
Top 5% $80k (exactly $79,760)
Developers, 2 yr 254
Released games 751
Announced 428
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Nature
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, 2D Platformer, Action
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.49 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, Colorful, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.49 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 20,553 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $360, 1 in 4 over $2.6k, 1 in 20 over $79k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 147 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 428 games are announced against 142 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimStrong odds19 devs · median $3.0k · 15 announced
  2. + PinballStrong odds10 devs · median $2.5k · 6 announced
  3. + Combat RacingFair28 devs · median $899 · 38 announced
  4. + FMVFair9 devs · median $899 · 10 announced
  5. + SimulationFair281 devs · median $628 · 235 announced
  6. + Grid-Based MovementFair23 devs · median $539 · 18 announced
  7. + AutomationFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  8. + Turn-Based TacticsLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $7.2k · 90 announced
  10. + Co-op CampaignPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $5.8k · 38 announced
  12. + SkateboardingPoor odds14 devs · median $4.8k · 23 announced

All 206 pairs on the Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Gorilla Tag 2023 · $32M FAR: Lone Sails 2018 · $11M Neva 2024 · $5.6M Webbed 2021 · $4.1M Jusant 2023 · $3.1M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Gorilla Tag older $19.99 52,637 93% 1.6M $32M (exactly $31,566,409) Another Axiom Inc.
FAR: Lone Sails older $14.99 24,474 95% 734k $11M (exactly $11,005,958) Okomotive
Neva $19.99 9,343 93% 280k $5.6M (exactly $5,602,997) Nomada Studio
Webbed older $9.99 13,820 97% 415k $4.1M (exactly $4,141,854) Sbug Games
Jusant older $24.99 4,123 93% 124k $3.1M (exactly $3,091,013) DON'T NOD
Never Alone (Kisima Ingitchuna) older $14.99 5,812 81% 174k $2.6M (exactly $2,613,656) Upper One Games, E-Line Media
Wavetale older $29.99 2,579 88% 77k $2.3M (exactly $2,320,326) Thunderful Development
Peaks of Yore older $18.99 3,587 97% 108k $2.0M (exactly $2,043,514) Anders Grube Jensen
Öoo $9.99 6,575 99% 197k $2.0M (exactly $1,970,528) NamaTakahashi, tiny cactus studio, Tsuy… (NamaTakahashi, tiny cactus studio, Tsuyomi)
Arise: A Simple Story older $19.99 2,723 91% 82k $1.6M (exactly $1,632,983) Piccolo Studio
Darwin's Paradox! $24.99 843 87% 25k $632k (exactly $631,997) ZDT Studio
Gecko Gods $19.99 629 96% 19k $377k (exactly $377,211) Inresin
Primal Planet $19.99 629 88% 19k $377k (exactly $377,211) Seethingswarm
Isopod: A Webbed Spin-off $19.99 511 88% 15k $306k (exactly $306,447) Sbug Games
Deer & Boy $19.99 370 94% 11k $222k (exactly $221,889) Lifeline Games
Tall Trails $9.99 691 99% 21k $207k (exactly $207,093) Brady Soglin
EMUUROM $12.49 302 90% 9.1k $113k (exactly $113,159) borbware
Log Riders $4.99 660 70% 20k $99k (exactly $98,802) Bluespy Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.