Do I ship it?

GamesTurn-Based TacticsTurn-Based Tactics + Mythology

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mythological Turn-Based Tactics?

Turn-Based Tactics + Mythology

Of 52 developers who shipped a Mythological Turn-Based Tactics in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 114 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×2.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $93k, ×149 the market median. Revenue is down 10% on the market; 114 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 114 announced, ×3.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Tactics + Mythology
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 52
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.0k → $5.4k → $3.8k → $2.2k → $899 → $1.8k → $807 (still earning) → $1.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Tactics + Mythology: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 52
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,497)
Top 25% $13k (exactly $12,887)
Top 5% $94k (exactly $93,542)
Developers, 2 yr 52
Released games 157
Announced 114
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 25%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Mythology
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Tactics; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Turn-Based Strategy, RPG
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 67% positive over 4,301 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $12k, 1 in 20 over $93k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 29 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 114 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Tactics with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TanksFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  2. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced
  3. + ProgrammingFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 16 announced
  4. + DiceFair47 devs · median $1.6k · 53 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  6. + Time ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.4k · 69 announced
  7. + IdlerFair47 devs · median $1.3k · 48 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair55 devs · median $1.0k · 56 announced
  9. + Traditional RoguelikeFair78 devs · median $629 · 95 announced
  10. + PsychologicalFair34 devs · median $629 · 40 announced
  11. + PuzzleFair263 devs · median $598 · 308 announced
  12. + PlatformerLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced

All 189 pairs on the Turn-Based Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
King Arthur: Knight's Tale older $44.99 6,722 83% 202k $9.1M (exactly $9,072,683) NeocoreGames
Black Book older $24.99 5,306 93% 159k $4.0M (exactly $3,977,908) Morteshka
NORSE: Oath of Blood $34.99 2,535 56% 76k $2.7M (exactly $2,660,990) Arctic Hazard
Warriors of the Nile older $12.99 2,412 79% 72k $940k (exactly $939,956) Stove Studio
Warriors of the Nile 2 older $14.99 1,180 88% 35k $531k (exactly $530,646) Stove Studio
King Arthur: Legion IX older $19.99 774 72% 23k $464k (exactly $464,168) NeocoreGames
Earthling's Undertaking older $10.99 930 64% 28k $307k (exactly $306,621) Current Games
Pyrene older $14.99 676 92% 20k $304k (exactly $303,997) Two Tiny Dice
Blood Rage: Digital Edition older $19.99 477 58% 14k $286k (exactly $286,057) Endava
封神榜2022 older $9.99 927 91% 28k $278k (exactly $277,822) FC Maker
绯红编年史 ~ Chronicle of Scarlet ~ $12.99 697 88% 21k $272k (exactly $271,621) Charge Piggy Studio
Celestial Descends · EA $15.99 195 86% 5.9k $94k (exactly $93,542) Destined Game Studio
Shields of Loyalty $19.99 140 77% 4.2k $84k (exactly $83,958) Mosaic Mask Studio
These Doomed Isles $14.99 180 66% 5.4k $81k (exactly $80,946) Triplevision Games Limited
Spear Song · EA $14.99 170 88% 5.1k $76k (exactly $76,449) Divovision Games
Guards II: Chaos in Hell $15.99 125 96% 3.8k $60k (exactly $59,962) Battlecruiser Games
Relief $9.99 112 70% 3.4k $34k (exactly $33,566) Billiontail
The Hidden Scrolls $9.99 94 69% 2.8k $28k (exactly $28,172) Red Dragon Studio
Touhou: Divine Land -Majesty in Game- $14.99 53 92% 1.6k $24k (exactly $23,834) Oct.Works

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.