Do I ship it?

GamesPlatformerPlatformer + Mythology

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mythological Platformer?

Platformer + Mythology

Of 65 developers who shipped a Mythological Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 144 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×2.6 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $190k, ×309 the market median. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 144 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 144 announced, ×4.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Platformer + Mythology
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 65
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.9k → $2.7k → $7.2k → $1.2k → $2.8k → $3.0k → $1.2k (still earning) → $180 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Platformer + Mythology: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 65
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,617)
Top 25% $11k (exactly $10,629)
Top 5% $194k (exactly $194,270)
Developers, 2 yr 65
Released games 193
Announced 144
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.49

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Mythology
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, 2D Platformer
Price point
$6.49 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Atmospheric, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.49.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 6,321 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $190k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 41 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 144 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimStrong odds19 devs · median $3.0k · 15 announced
  2. + PinballStrong odds10 devs · median $2.5k · 6 announced
  3. + Combat RacingFair28 devs · median $899 · 38 announced
  4. + FMVFair9 devs · median $899 · 10 announced
  5. + SimulationFair281 devs · median $628 · 235 announced
  6. + Grid-Based MovementFair23 devs · median $539 · 18 announced
  7. + AutomationFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  8. + Turn-Based TacticsLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $7.2k · 90 announced
  10. + Co-op CampaignPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $5.8k · 38 announced
  12. + SkateboardingPoor odds14 devs · median $4.8k · 23 announced

All 206 pairs on the Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Nine Sols older $29.99 40,138 94% 1.2M $36M (exactly $36,112,159) RedCandleGames
Sakuna: Of Rice and Ruin older $29.99 5,004 92% 150k $4.5M (exactly $4,502,099) Edelweiss
Apotheon older $14.99 3,314 89% 99k $1.5M (exactly $1,490,306) Alientrap
Neon Abyss 2 · EA $19.99 1,968 68% 59k $1.2M (exactly $1,180,210) Veewo Games
Actraiser Renaissance older $29.99 708 74% 21k $637k (exactly $636,988) Square Enix, Sonic Powered
Voidwrought $19.99 936 77% 28k $561k (exactly $561,319) Powersnake
Tales of Kenzera™: ZAU older $19.99 898 82% 27k $539k (exactly $538,531) Surgent Studios
Unruly Heroes older $19.99 763 74% 23k $458k (exactly $457,571) Magic Design Studios
Tunche older $19.99 618 73% 19k $371k (exactly $370,615) LEAP Game Studios
Twin Shot Deluxe $9.99 1,167 95% 35k $350k (exactly $349,750) Nitrome Limited
BLACKSHARD $14.99 432 91% 13k $194k (exactly $194,270) Redlock Studio, Enclave
DragonLoop $8.99 567 91% 17k $153k (exactly $152,920) 沙因, 小阮
Gurei $15.99 281 83% 8.4k $135k (exactly $134,796) Lobo Sagaz studio
Somber Echoes $14.99 271 81% 8.1k $122k (exactly $121,869) Rock Pocket Games, Lav Games
Pushing it! Together - Sisyphus Co-op $3.99 491 48% 15k $59k (exactly $58,773) Bashir "ManliestDev" Kashalo,… (Bashir "ManliestDev" Kashalo, Blind Archer)
SoulQuest $19.99 97 81% 2.9k $58k (exactly $58,171) SoulBlade Studio LLC, TomasJPereyra
Emberbane $14.99 111 52% 3.3k $50k (exactly $49,917) Hamlet Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.