Games › Music-Based Procedural Generation › Music-Based Procedural Generation + Runner
Should I ship a Music-Based Procedural Generation Runner?
Music-Based Procedural Generation + Runner
Only 7 developers shipped a Music-Based Procedural Generation Runner in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Melody's Escape 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $810 against a market of $480. 12 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $359 (exactly $359) |
|---|---|
| Median | $809 (exactly $809) |
| Top 25% | $1.6k (exactly $1,647) |
| Top 5% | $128k (exactly $127,715) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 7 |
| Released games | 30 |
| Announced | 12 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 725% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Music-Based Procedural Generation
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Runner
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Music-Based Procedural Generation, Runner
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 90% positive over 8,109 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $360. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 12 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Music-Based Procedural Generation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Character CustomizationFair
- + FantasyFair
- + MusicFair
- + RhythmLong shot
- + Level EditorPoor odds
- + PuzzlePoor odds
- + AdventurePoor odds
- + Female ProtagonistPoor odds
- + ExplorationPoor odds
- + PlatformerPoor odds
- + RoguelikePoor odds
- + PhysicsPoor odds
Comparable games
Melody's Escape 2016 · $1.3M 
Music Racer 2018 · $199k 
Melody's Escape 2 2026 · $128k 
Rhythm Stones 2022 · EA · $7.0k 
Music95 2021 · EA · $3.8k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Melody's Escape | older | $9.99 | 4,336 92% | 130k | $1.3M (exactly $1,299,499) | Icetesy |
| | Music Racer | older | $1.99 | 3,332 87% | 100k | $199k (exactly $198,920) | AbstractArt |
| | Melody's Escape 2 | $14.99 | 284 95% | 8.5k | $128k (exactly $127,715) | Icetesy | |
| | Rhythm Stones | · EA older | $8.99 | 26 76% | 780 | $7.0k (exactly $7,012) | MELOVITY |
| | Music95 | · EA older | $7.99 | 16 75% | 480 | $3.8k (exactly $3,835) | NJ No.1 |
 | HEPTAGON | older | $4.99 | 22 77% | 660 | $3.3k (exactly $3,293) | CORE Games |
 | Music Racer 2000 | older | $0.99 | 59 44% | 1.8k | $1.8k (exactly $1,752) | AbstractArt |
 | Ella Stars | $4.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $1.6k (exactly $1,647) | SUSUSOFT | |
 | Rhythm of the Gods | older | $8.99 | 6 83% | 180 | $1.6k (exactly $1,618) | Lyrelark |
 | Run Turn Die | older | $2.99 | 17 88% | 510 | $1.5k (exactly $1,525) | Matthias Magnussen |
 | Synthwave Tunnel | · EA | $4.99 | 7 85% | 210 | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) | Hard Shark Games |
 | Rhythm Racer | · EA | $8.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $809 (exactly $809) | Elusive Byte |
 | Super Hot Cube | · EA | $5.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $359 (exactly $359) | Hard Shark Games |
 | Beat Vortex | · EA | $3.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $359 (exactly $359) | Glory Through Gaming |
 | UPBEAT | $4.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | CALYPSO LABS | |
 | Gliss | $2.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Indie Terminate Forms |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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