Games › Music-Based Procedural Generation › Music-Based Procedural Generation + Puzzle
Should I ship a Music-Based Procedural Generation Puzzle game?
Music-Based Procedural Generation + Puzzle
Only 12 developers shipped a Music-Based Procedural Generation Puzzle game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Enigma of Fear, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.8 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $2.7M, ×5768 the market median. Revenue is up 95% on the market; 20 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $300 (exactly $300) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.3k (exactly $1,319) |
| Top 25% | $13k (exactly $12,860) |
| Top 5% | $2.7M (exactly $2,739,586) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 12 |
| Released games | 45 |
| Announced | 20 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 95% on the market, supply 200% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Music-Based Procedural Generation
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Puzzle
- effort 2 / 10 · high · discrete rules, levels are data
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Music-Based Procedural Generation, Puzzle
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 95% positive over 3,278 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 20 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Music-Based Procedural Generation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Character CustomizationFair
- + FantasyFair
- + MusicFair
- + RhythmLong shot
- + Level EditorPoor odds
- + AdventurePoor odds
- + Female ProtagonistPoor odds
- + ExplorationPoor odds
- + PlatformerPoor odds
- + RoguelikePoor odds
- + PhysicsPoor odds
- + Action RoguelikePoor odds
Comparable games
Melatonin 2022 · $3.4M 
Enigma of Fear 2024 · $2.7M 
AudioSurf 2008 · $2.7M 
Audiosurf 2 2015 · $2.4M 
LUMINES REMASTERED 2018 · $318k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Melatonin | older | $14.99 | 7,554 94% | 227k | $3.4M (exactly $3,397,034) | Half Asleep |
| | Enigma of Fear | $29.99 | 3,045 95% | 91k | $2.7M (exactly $2,739,586) | Dumativa, Cellbit | |
| | AudioSurf | older | $9.99 | 8,901 95% | 267k | $2.7M (exactly $2,667,630) | Dylan Fitterer |
| | Audiosurf 2 | older | $14.99 | 5,364 82% | 161k | $2.4M (exactly $2,412,191) | Dylan Fitterer |
| | LUMINES REMASTERED | older | $14.99 | 707 95% | 21k | $318k (exactly $317,938) | Resonair |
 | Rytmos | older | $14.99 | 89 79% | 2.7k | $40k (exactly $40,023) | Floppy Club |
 | Ultimate Drummer | $5.99 | 170 98% | 5.1k | $31k (exactly $30,549) | Cool 3D World | |
 | Colorful Recolor | older | $9.99 | 84 91% | 2.5k | $25k (exactly $25,175) | Gagonfe, HugoBDesigner, Ulon |
 | Oxytone | older | $6.99 | 119 93% | 3.6k | $25k (exactly $24,954) | OxGames |
 | Expand | older | $5.99 | 119 91% | 3.6k | $21k (exactly $21,384) | Chris Johnson, Chris Larkin |
 | Cadence | $12.99 | 33 100% | 990 | $13k (exactly $12,860) | Made With Monster Love | |
 | BeatChip '95 | $6.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $2.1k (exactly $2,097) | Jack The Robot Games | |
 | Motel Nightmares | $8.99 | 6 33% | 180 | $1.6k (exactly $1,618) | KOZARI | |
 | The Cascadier | · EA | $10.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $1.3k (exactly $1,319) | Enchanted Arcade |
 | Aster Symphona | $9.99 | 4 25% | 120 | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) | Double Barreled Herald | |
 | Paper 2 - Origami Refolded | $9.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $899 (exactly $899) | Bryce Summer | |
 | Triangles | $9.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | DETUNE LTD | |
 | T-Drum | $4.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | LV Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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