Do I ship it?

GamesLevel EditorLevel Editor + Music-Based Procedural Generation

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Level Editor Music-Based Procedural Generation game?

Level Editor + Music-Based Procedural Generation

Only 10 developers shipped a Level Editor Music-Based Procedural Generation game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Rift of the NecroDancer, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.7k, ×9.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $3.5M, ×5581 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 14 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 9.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 14 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Level Editor + Music-Based Procedural Generation
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.7k → $13k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Level Editor + Music-Based Procedural Generation: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $5.7k (exactly $5,694)
Top 25% $13k (exactly $12,860)
Top 5% $3.5M (exactly $3,504,647)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 30
Announced 14
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 135% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Level Editor
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Music-Based Procedural Generation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Level Editor, Music-Based Procedural Generation
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 7 games average 93% positive over 5,959 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $5.7k, 1 in 4 over $12k, 1 in 20 over $3.5M.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 14 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Level Editor with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Multiple EndingsFair17 devs · median $8.1k · 23 announced
  2. + Hidden ObjectFair12 devs · median $7.6k · 14 announced
  3. + CollectathonFair15 devs · median $3.4k · 17 announced
  4. + Time AttackFair12 devs · median $748 · 14 announced
  5. + IdlerFair19 devs · median $719 · 12 announced
  6. + Score AttackFair51 devs · median $598 · 62 announced
  7. + AutomationLong shot27 devs · median $300 · 32 announced
  8. + TransportationPoor odds10 devs · median $43k · 17 announced
  9. + TrainsPoor odds10 devs · median $43k · 11 announced
  10. + MilitaryPoor odds22 devs · median $43k · 46 announced
  11. + City BuilderPoor odds20 devs · median $24k · 50 announced
  12. + Online Co-OpPoor odds36 devs · median $19k · 111 announced

All 136 pairs on the Level Editor page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Rift of the NecroDancer $19.99 5,844 93% 175k $3.5M (exactly $3,504,647) Brace Yourself Games, Tic Toc Studios I… (Brace Yourself Games, Tic Toc Studios Inc.)
Intralism older $2.99 4,277 86% 128k $384k (exactly $383,647) KHB-Soft
PowerBeatsVR - VR Fitness older $19.99 453 85% 14k $272k (exactly $271,664) Five Mind Creations
Soundodger+ older $7.99 676 90% 20k $162k (exactly $162,037) Studio Bean
Beat Aim - Rhythm FPS Trainer · EA older $14.99 210 89% 6.3k $94k (exactly $94,437) Kamyker
Melody Mania · EA older $18.99 75 80% 2.3k $43k (exactly $42,728) Andreas Achim Stange
Dance Collider older $4.99 169 80% 5.1k $25k (exactly $25,299) emergeWorlds
Colorful Recolor older $9.99 84 91% 2.5k $25k (exactly $25,175) Gagonfe, HugoBDesigner, Ulon
Governance · EA $17.99 33 66% 990 $18k (exactly $17,810) Governance Studios
Hacker's Beat older $9.99 57 50% 1.7k $17k (exactly $17,083) TEAM TANDS PLUS
Cadence $12.99 33 100% 990 $13k (exactly $12,860) Made With Monster Love
MUKKE: Music Machine $7.99 25 96% 750 $6.0k (exactly $5,992) APETENSE Interactive
Mound of Music $9.99 19 78% 570 $5.7k (exactly $5,694) Elif Games
Super Rhythm Fit $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) PandaCat Studio
Tidal Strings $0.99 4 75% 120 $119 (exactly $119) June666
San Yin · EA $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) XingYan
Random Mix · EA $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) InternalErrorX
Note Bounce – Sheet Music Game & Video Creator $19.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Cihad Turhan

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.