Games › Visual Novel › Visual Novel + Military
Should I ship a Military Visual Novel?
Visual Novel + Military
Of 33 developers who shipped a Military Visual Novel in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 39 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $370k, ×604 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 39 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $300 (exactly $300) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.2k (exactly $1,169) |
| Top 25% | $15k (exactly $15,285) |
| Top 5% | $379k (exactly $379,097) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 33 |
| Released games | 113 |
| Announced | 39 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 110% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Visual Novel
- effort 2 / 10 · high · script, choices and static art
- Military
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Visual Novel; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Choices Matter, Choose Your Own Adventure
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Anime, 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 91% positive over 3,622 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 26 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 39 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Visual Novel with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + City BuilderStrong odds
- + MusicStrong odds
- + TrainsStrong odds
- + Souls-likeFair
- + MinigamesFair
- + RhythmFair
- + JRPGFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + SwordplayFair
- + GamblingFair
- + DiplomacyFair
Comparable games
Muv-Luv Alternative 2018 · $4.1M 
eden* 2015 · $2.5M 
Conquer the world 2025 · $778k 
Eiyu*Senki Gold – A New Conquest 2021 · $418k 
Stories from Sol: The Gun-Dog 2025 · $379k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Muv-Luv Alternative | older | $39.99 | 3,447 95% | 103k | $4.1M (exactly $4,135,366) | aNCHOR Inc. |
| | eden* | older | $19.99 | 4,098 98% | 123k | $2.5M (exactly $2,457,571) | minori |
| | Conquer the world | $12.99 | 1,996 92% | 60k | $778k (exactly $777,841) | 互动之星 | |
| | Eiyu*Senki Gold – A New Conquest | older | $34.99 | 398 85% | 12k | $418k (exactly $417,781) | Tenco |
| | Stories from Sol: The Gun-Dog | $14.99 | 843 90% | 25k | $379k (exactly $379,097) | Space Colony Studios | |
 | Long Gone Days | older | $24.99 | 468 88% | 14k | $351k (exactly $350,860) | This I Dreamt |
 | Muv-Luv Alternative Total Eclipse Remastered | older | $39.99 | 250 94% | 7.5k | $300k (exactly $299,925) | aNCHOR Inc., fuzz, Inc. |
 | Sunrider 4: The Captain's Return | older | $29.99 | 264 88% | 7.9k | $238k (exactly $237,521) | Love in Space |
 | ISEKAI FRONTLINE | older | $3.99 | 1,806 77% | 54k | $216k (exactly $216,178) | Studio Ginkgo |
 | Long Dream | older | $6.99 | 962 98% | 29k | $202k (exactly $201,731) | WildMonkey |
 | Lavender Quartz 境界秤動 | $11.99 | 300 95% | 9.0k | $108k (exactly $107,910) | Edanoue, Inc. | |
 | Phantom PHANTOM OF INFERNO NITRO ARCHIVE | $29.99 | 108 94% | 3.2k | $97k (exactly $97,168) | NITRO PLUS, NITRO ORIGIN | |
 | Peach Hills Division | $19.99 | 94 56% | 2.8k | $56k (exactly $56,372) | GatoLobo | |
 | Agent Horny - Season 1 | $14.99 | 66 75% | 2.0k | $30k (exactly $29,680) | Mr.CreepGames | |
 | Wings of Empire | · EA | $14.99 | 49 87% | 1.5k | $22k (exactly $22,035) | Droid Productions |
 | Hello Girl | $6.99 | 94 97% | 2.8k | $20k (exactly $19,712) | Imo Team | |
 | Cycle of Struggle: Ardengrad | · EA | $9.99 | 51 98% | 1.5k | $15k (exactly $15,285) | Visionary Impact |
 | Cerulean Invasion | $18.99 | 21 76% | 630 | $12k (exactly $11,964) | Vincere Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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