Do I ship it?

GamesProcedural GenerationProcedural Generation + Military

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Military Procedural Generation game?

Procedural Generation + Military

Of 44 developers who shipped a Military Procedural Generation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 89 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×2.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $750k, ×1210 the market median. Revenue is up 235% on the market; 89 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 235% on the market, 89 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Procedural Generation + Military
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 44
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.0k → $8.6k → $1.8k → $5.4k → $9.0k → $11k → $539 (still earning) → $719 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Procedural Generation + Military: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 44
Bottom 30% $269 (exactly $269)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,436)
Top 25% $15k (exactly $14,622)
Top 5% $760k (exactly $759,820)
Developers, 2 yr 44
Released games 122
Announced 89
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.90

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 235% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Procedural Generation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Military
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Procedural Generation; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, RTS, Tactical
Price point
$9.90 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.90.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 11,257 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $750k.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 7 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 89 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Procedural Generation with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SnowFair11 devs · median $3.0k · 16 announced
  2. + Traditional RoguelikeFair71 devs · median $2.0k · 93 announced
  3. + DetectiveFair29 devs · median $1.5k · 30 announced
  4. + Word GameFair22 devs · median $1.3k · 23 announced
  5. + TypingFair26 devs · median $1.1k · 11 announced
  6. + IdlerFair98 devs · median $807 · 107 announced
  7. + LogicFair137 devs · median $478 · 149 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair57 devs · median $449 · 62 announced
  9. + Precision PlatformerFair49 devs · median $449 · 42 announced
  10. + Hidden ObjectFair58 devs · median $418 · 56 announced
  11. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds31 devs · median $77k · 95 announced
  12. + TrainsPoor odds22 devs · median $30k · 35 announced

All 222 pairs on the Procedural Generation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Stellaris older $49.99 139,718 85% 4.2M $210M (exactly $209,535,085) Paradox Development Studio
Sprocket · EA older $19.99 12,336 92% 370k $7.4M (exactly $7,397,899) Hamish Dunn
Master of Command $29.99 3,840 92% 115k $3.5M (exactly $3,454,848) Armchair Interactive
Tower Dominion $17.49 5,117 85% 154k $2.7M (exactly $2,684,890) Parallel 45 Games
Flyout · EA older $19.99 2,137 83% 64k $1.3M (exactly $1,281,559) Stonext Games
Fantasy Map Simulator · EA older $7.99 4,190 89% 126k $1.0M (exactly $1,004,343) The Stranger
Destroyer: The U-Boat Hunter older $29.99 852 73% 26k $767k (exactly $766,544) Iron Wolf Studio S.A.
GERONIMO · EA $19.99 1,267 81% 38k $760k (exactly $759,820) Dark Matter Studios
Interstellar Space: Genesis older $29.99 712 83% 21k $641k (exactly $640,586) Praxis Games
Sky Rogue older $19.99 1,059 92% 32k $635k (exactly $635,082) Fractal Phase
Eyes of War $14.99 268 77% 8.0k $121k (exactly $120,520) Good Mood Games
Fracture Point $19.99 158 81% 4.7k $95k (exactly $94,753) Kyrylo Burlaka
TOP DOG $9.99 263 88% 7.9k $79k (exactly $78,821) MorfeoDev
Void Marauders $13.99 106 77% 3.2k $44k (exactly $44,488) Autarca
Sanguo's Ambition 4 :Three Kingdoms $9.99 101 68% 3.0k $30k (exactly $30,270) Youshen Interactive
Kiloton $6.99 103 96% 3.1k $22k (exactly $21,599) Jack Morehart
Stellar Reach $19.99 34 79% 1.0k $20k (exactly $20,390) Stelleas

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.