Do I ship it?

Games › Platformer › Platformer + Military

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Military Platformer?

Platformer + Military

Only 15 developers shipped a Military Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Nitro Express, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced, ×4.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $510, ×0.8 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $410k, ×663 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 31 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 31 announced, ×4.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Platformer + Military
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.7k → $2.2k → $505 → $1.6k → $0 → $479 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Platformer + Military: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $505 (exactly $505)
Top 25% $3.1k (exactly $3,116)
Top 5% $417k (exactly $416,589)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 70
Announced 31
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Military
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Platformer; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Shooter
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 1990's, 2D, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 1,320 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $510, 1 in 4 over $3.1k, 1 in 20 over $410k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 8 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimStrong odds19 devs · median $3.0k · 15 announced
  2. + PinballStrong odds10 devs · median $2.5k · 6 announced
  3. + Combat RacingFair28 devs · median $899 · 38 announced
  4. + FMVFair9 devs · median $899 · 10 announced
  5. + SimulationFair281 devs · median $628 · 235 announced
  6. + Grid-Based MovementFair23 devs · median $539 · 18 announced
  7. + AutomationFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  8. + Turn-Based TacticsLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $7.2k · 90 announced
  10. + Co-op CampaignPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $5.8k · 38 announced
  12. + SkateboardingPoor odds14 devs · median $4.8k · 23 announced

All 206 pairs on the Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

HARDCORE MECHA 2019 · $1.4M METAL SLUG XX 2019 · $685k Nitro Express 2025 · $417k SNK 40th ANNIVERSARY COLLECTION 2019 · $206k BioMenace Remastered 2025 · $84k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
HARDCORE MECHA older $19.99 2,331 83% 70k $1.4M (exactly $1,397,901) RocketPunch Games
METAL SLUG XX older $19.99 1,143 53% 34k $685k (exactly $685,457) SNK CORPORATION
Nitro Express $12.99 1,069 75% 32k $417k (exactly $416,589) Grayfax Software
SNK 40th ANNIVERSARY COLLECTION older $29.99 229 82% 6.9k $206k (exactly $206,031) Digital Eclipse
BioMenace Remastered $14.99 186 99% 5.6k $84k (exactly $83,644) Rigel Gameworks
When I Was Young older $11.99 161 71% 4.8k $58k (exactly $57,912) WallRus Group
Magic Trap older $49.99 23 86% 690 $34k (exactly $34,493) Gamesforgames
Recon Control older $9.99 96 79% 2.9k $29k (exactly $28,771) Dmitry Kozlov
RedEx older $7.99 111 77% 3.3k $27k (exactly $26,607) fraimone, NipoBox
MECHBLAZE older $9.99 78 93% 2.3k $23k (exactly $23,377) ASTRO PORT
Prison Escape Simulator $9.99 18 77% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) PEGAX Studios
Cyborg: Rise $7.99 13 92% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) fish world
Good Time To Play $12.99 4 100% 120 $1.6k (exactly $1,559) No Brain
Final Payload $2.99 7 71% 210 $628 (exactly $628) kazakovstudios, Sharkgame
Full Effect $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Silverheaven Interactive
Kill Dee $0.99 17 82% 510 $505 (exactly $505) BYE BYE, BUYBYEGames
Hardcore Soldier $7.99 2 100% 60 $479 (exactly $479) James H. Van der Meulen
Stickman Physics Battle Arena $6.99 2 100% 60 $419 (exactly $419) Kyle Hawks

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.