Games › Visual Novel › Visual Novel + Medieval
Should I ship a Medieval Visual Novel?
Visual Novel + Medieval
Of 169 developers who shipped a Medieval Visual Novel in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 233 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.6k, ×7.6 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $840; 1 in 20 cleared $300k, ×644 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 233 games are announced against 106 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $838 (exactly $838) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.6k (exactly $3,596) |
| Top 25% | $30k (exactly $29,855) |
| Top 5% | $306k (exactly $305,952) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 169 |
| Released games | 474 |
| Announced | 233 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Visual Novel
- effort 2 / 10 · high · script, choices and static art
- Medieval
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Visual Novel; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, RPG, Choices Matter
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $18.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Anime
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $18.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 88% positive over 11,391 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $840. 7 in 10 of the 90 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 233 games are announced against 106 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Visual Novel with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + City BuilderStrong odds
- + MusicStrong odds
- + TrainsStrong odds
- + Souls-likeFair
- + MinigamesFair
- + RhythmFair
- + JRPGFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + SwordplayFair
- + GamblingFair
- + DiplomacyFair
Comparable games
The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty 2024 · $15M 
Volcano Princess 2023 · $15M 
Thronebreaker: The Witcher Tales 2018 · $9.4M 
The Life and Suffering of Sir Brante 2021 · $4.9M 
Ken Follett's The Pillars of the Earth 2017 · $3.6M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty | older | $9.99 | 49,765 94% | 1.5M | $15M (exactly $14,914,570) | 零创游戏(ZerocreationGame) |
| | Volcano Princess | older | $10.99 | 45,019 97% | 1.4M | $15M (exactly $14,842,764) | 养蛋人 Egg Hatcher |
| | Thronebreaker: The Witcher Tales | older | $19.99 | 15,665 89% | 470k | $9.4M (exactly $9,394,300) | CD PROJEKT RED |
| | The Life and Suffering of Sir Brante | older | $19.99 | 8,151 89% | 245k | $4.9M (exactly $4,888,155) | Sever, Schisma Games |
| | Ken Follett's The Pillars of the Earth | older | $19.99 | 5,926 92% | 178k | $3.6M (exactly $3,553,822) | Daedalic Entertainment |
 | Sovereign Tower | $19.99 | 3,087 93% | 93k | $1.9M (exactly $1,851,274) | WILD WITS GAMES | |
 | Long Live The Queen | older | $9.99 | 5,832 94% | 175k | $1.7M (exactly $1,747,850) | Hanako Games |
 | The Life and Suffering of Prince Jerian | $24.99 | 1,356 74% | 41k | $1.0M (exactly $1,016,593) | Schisma Games | |
 | Princess Maker 2 Refine | older | $19.99 | 1,610 93% | 48k | $966k (exactly $965,517) | CFK Co., Ltd. |
 | Resist the succubus—The end of the female Knight | older | $16.99 | 1,370 74% | 41k | $698k (exactly $698,289) | BoRoBoRoGame |
 | Corruption Town | · EA | $14.99 | 992 88% | 30k | $446k (exactly $446,102) | BoredBasmati |
 | Handyman Fantasy | $7.99 | 1,607 95% | 48k | $385k (exactly $385,198) | SupaShinKen Studio | |
 | Jerez's Arena Ⅲ | $19.99 | 613 89% | 18k | $368k (exactly $367,616) | WorkNite Games | |
 | Fallen Priestess: My Sister's Demonic Bloodline | $18.99 | 622 72% | 19k | $354k (exactly $354,353) | BBQ大好き | |
 | Between Two Worlds | $14.99 | 760 82% | 23k | $342k (exactly $341,772) | Drooskati Games | |
 | Fallen / Brand New World | $29.99 | 356 94% | 11k | $320k (exactly $320,293) | Parthia Studio LLC | |
 | Forbidden Fantasy | $6.99 | 1,459 88% | 44k | $306k (exactly $305,952) | OppaiMan Studios | |
 | Putrika 1st.cut:The Reason She Must Perish | $17.99 | 539 94% | 16k | $291k (exactly $290,898) | トトメトリ |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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