Do I ship it?

GamesSolitaireSolitaire + Medieval

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Medieval Solitaire game?

Solitaire + Medieval

Only 19 developers shipped a Medieval Solitaire game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Rainbow Legends, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced.

Verdict: long shot, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300, ×0.6 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, but 1 in 20 cleared $35k, ×74 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 18 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 18 announced, ×1.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Solitaire + Medieval
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $30 → $416 → $1.3k → $210 → $1.7k (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Solitaire + Medieval: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $297 (exactly $297)
Top 25% $3.1k (exactly $3,116)
Top 5% $35k (exactly $35,073)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 53
Announced 18
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 115% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Solitaire
effort 1 / 10 · high · fixed rules, cards and a table
Medieval
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Solitaire; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Tabletop, Card Game, Deckbuilding
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Atmospheric, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 262 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $300, 1 in 4 over $3.1k, 1 in 20 over $35k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 18 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Solitaire with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Female ProtagonistFair9 devs · median $3.3k · 9 announced
  2. + Artificial IntelligenceFair8 devs · median $2.3k · 3 announced
  3. + ManagementFair24 devs · median $1.2k · 17 announced
  4. + Immersive SimFair12 devs · median $1.2k · 9 announced
  5. + MahjongFair20 devs · median $1.1k · 6 announced
  6. + RomanceFair11 devs · median $1.1k · 8 announced
  7. + CraftingFair12 devs · median $809 · 20 announced
  8. + SimulationFair56 devs · median $718 · 46 announced
  9. + FantasyFair48 devs · median $479 · 39 announced
  10. + TacticalFair25 devs · median $479 · 22 announced
  11. + SportsFair14 devs · median $479 · 5 announced
  12. + Turn-Based CombatFair26 devs · median $450 · 31 announced

All 77 pairs on the Solitaire page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Faerie Solitaire Remastered older $14.99 393 83% 12k $177k (exactly $176,732) Subsoap
Rainbow Legends $12.99 90 74% 2.7k $35k (exactly $35,073) Unpixel Cloud Cedar Studio
Paper Kingdom $12.99 65 61% 2.0k $25k (exactly $25,330) obece
Goldenjar Fall - Definitive Edition older $9.99 29 58% 870 $8.7k (exactly $8,691) Ardeal Studio
Dolmenjord - Viking Islands older $2.99 92 85% 2.8k $8.3k (exactly $8,252) Mens Sana Interactive, Allan Postal
Forests, Fields and Fortresses older $4.99 49 93% 1.5k $7.3k (exactly $7,335) 9 Eyes Game Studio
From Lex to Rex older $8.99 25 80% 750 $6.7k (exactly $6,742) RexCorp
Avalon Jewels 2 Collector's Edition $14.99 11 90% 330 $4.9k (exactly $4,947) Anawiki Games
Mahjong Royal Towers older $14.99 11 54% 330 $4.9k (exactly $4,947) Creobit
Dracula Frames older $3.99 34 91% 1.0k $4.1k (exactly $4,070) Caio Flavio
Hidden Kittens: Kingdom of Cats $1.99 53 100% 1.6k $3.2k (exactly $3,164) Pinel Games
Caemdale $7.99 13 76% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) JRB
Battle Hanafuda · EA $7.99 7 100% 210 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) SUZUKI PLAN, Yoji Suzuki
Argonauts Path · EA $6.99 8 100% 240 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) LittlePaladinGames
Luxuriant $14.99 2 100% 60 $899 (exactly $899) Goblin Runt
Choice Matters $5.99 3 66% 90 $539 (exactly $539) Nue Games
Dealer's Doom $0.99 10 90% 300 $297 (exactly $297) HanchengMiao

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.