Games › Turn-Based Tactics › Turn-Based Tactics + Match 3
Should I ship a Match 3 Turn-Based Tactics?
Turn-Based Tactics + Match 3
Only 18 developers shipped a Match 3 Turn-Based Tactics in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Titanium Court, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $490k, ×783 the market median. Revenue is up 4765% on the market; 31 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.2k (exactly $1,197) |
| Top 25% | $22k (exactly $21,573) |
| Top 5% | $492k (exactly $491,972) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 18 |
| Released games | 59 |
| Announced | 31 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 4765% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Turn-Based Tactics
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Match 3
- effort 2 / 10 · high · grid matching rules and cascades
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Turn-Based Tactics, Match 3; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Puzzle, Roguelike
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Surreal, Comedy
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 91% positive over 1,614 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Turn-Based Tactics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + TanksFair
- + AutomationFair
- + ProgrammingFair
- + DiceFair
- + MiningFair
- + Time ManagementFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Psychological HorrorFair
- + Traditional RoguelikeFair
- + PsychologicalFair
- + PuzzleFair
- + PlatformerLong shot
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Titanium Court | $14.99 | 1,094 94% | 33k | $492k (exactly $491,972) | AP Thomson | |
| | Might & Magic: Clash of Heroes - Definitive Edition | older | $17.99 | 434 80% | 13k | $234k (exactly $234,230) | Dotemu, Capybara Games |
| | ANTHEM#9 | $14.99 | 125 87% | 3.8k | $56k (exactly $56,212) | koeda | |
| | Fantasy Match -Make a H match with cute young woman- | older | $7.99 | 203 79% | 6.1k | $49k (exactly $48,659) | 魔界あ号営業所 |
| | Legends of Gems | $8.99 | 139 81% | 4.2k | $37k (exactly $37,488) | 南京西木优洛网络科技有限公司 | |
| | Merge & Blade | older | $9.99 | 121 76% | 3.6k | $36k (exactly $36,264) | Magic Cube |
| | XXZ: XXL | older | $5.99 | 200 80% | 6.0k | $36k (exactly $35,940) | L. Stotch |
| | Zombie Solitaire 2 Chapter 1 | older | $8.99 | 90 70% | 2.7k | $24k (exactly $24,273) | rokaplay |
| | Kaamos: Puzzle Roguelike | $9.99 | 73 87% | 2.2k | $22k (exactly $21,878) | Pepperbox Studios | |
| | Glamour Kaleidoscope | $7.99 | 90 75% | 2.7k | $22k (exactly $21,573) | Cup Dragon | |
| | Roguematch : The Extraplanar Invasion | $14.99 | 33 84% | 990 | $15k (exactly $14,840) | Starstruck Games | |
| | Torment Hexus | · EA | $9.99 | 21 100% | 630 | $6.3k (exactly $6,294) | TMA Games LLC |
| | Match! The 12 CZ Wars | $5.99 | 27 100% | 810 | $4.9k (exactly $4,852) | CorvusCorax Studio | |
| | 大荒消劫录 | $3.99 | 10 50% | 300 | $1.2k (exactly $1,197) | 辰酉游戏 | |
| | Velvet | $4.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | Gambula Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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