Do I ship it?

GamesPlatformerPlatformer + Match 3

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Match 3 Platformer?

Platformer + Match 3

Only 8 developers shipped a Match 3 Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, POPUCOM, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. None are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $810 against a market of $480. Nothing is announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 0 announced, under ×0.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Platformer + Match 3
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Platformer + Match 3: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $809 (exactly $809)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,599)
Top 5% $2.1M (exactly $2,058,170)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 27
Announced 0
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Match 3
effort 2 / 10 · high · grid matching rules and cascades

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Platformer, Match 3
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 3,875 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $810, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $2.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. Nothing is announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimStrong odds19 devs · median $3.0k · 15 announced
  2. + PinballStrong odds10 devs · median $2.5k · 6 announced
  3. + Combat RacingFair28 devs · median $899 · 38 announced
  4. + FMVFair9 devs · median $899 · 10 announced
  5. + SimulationFair281 devs · median $628 · 235 announced
  6. + Grid-Based MovementFair23 devs · median $539 · 18 announced
  7. + AutomationFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  8. + Turn-Based TacticsLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $7.2k · 90 announced
  10. + Co-op CampaignPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $5.8k · 38 announced
  12. + SkateboardingPoor odds14 devs · median $4.8k · 23 announced

All 206 pairs on the Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
POPUCOM $19.99 3,432 87% 103k $2.1M (exactly $2,058,170) Hypergryph
FURRY SEX: Cabaret 💋🔞 older $6.99 299 71% 9.0k $63k (exactly $62,700) Furry Tails
ILY older $7.99 42 97% 1.3k $10k (exactly $10,067) FreeAnimals_Software, Dnovel
MOVERS IN THE WAREHOUSE older $24.99 11 90% 330 $8.2k (exactly $8,247) Bocharov Games
WaveCrash!! older $9.99 19 100% 570 $5.7k (exactly $5,694) Flyover Games
100 in 1 Game Collection $29.99 4 75% 120 $3.6k (exactly $3,599) Digital Bards
1-Bit Revival: The Residuals of Null older $3.99 25 88% 750 $3.0k (exactly $2,992) Alex Hanson-White
Galactic Pick Up Artist older $7.99 12 16% 360 $2.9k (exactly $2,876) Schneeritter Studios
Scavenger of Dunomini older $5.99 15 100% 450 $2.7k (exactly $2,696) PUNKCAKE Delicieux
White Rabbit older $3.99 16 68% 480 $1.9k (exactly $1,915) FreeAnimals_Software
Ultimate Sugar Crush! — Brick Breaker Desire $2.99 17 88% 510 $1.5k (exactly $1,525) CHOCOLAT, LLC.
Trials Of Randoom $8.99 3 100% 90 $809 (exactly $809) Teion Games
Match-3 Juice Bar $1.99 11 90% 330 $657 (exactly $657) Game98
99 Games: Puzzle, Action, Strategy, Simulation, Casual, Roguelike, Shooter, RPG & More $9.99 2 50% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Chongqing Xishou Technology Co., Ltd
Ultimate Sugar Crush! $1.99 7 100% 210 $418 (exactly $418) CHOCOLAT, LLC.
Winter Games Collection + Advent Calendar $14.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Denda Games
THE MINIGAME CABINET $11.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Ragecore Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.