Games › Procedural Generation › Procedural Generation + Martial Arts
Should I ship a Martial-Arts Procedural Generation game?
Procedural Generation + Martial Arts
Only 13 developers shipped a Martial-Arts Procedural Generation game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Realm of Ink, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $4.2k, ×6.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $3.7M, ×5977 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 23 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.2k (exactly $4,198) |
| Top 25% | $183k (exactly $182,578) |
| Top 5% | $3.8M (exactly $3,753,748) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 30 |
| Announced | 23 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $10.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 125% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Procedural Generation
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Martial Arts
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Procedural Generation; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action Roguelike, Action-Adventure
- Price point
- $10.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Story Rich, Third Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $10.99.
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 9,214 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.1k. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Procedural Generation with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SnowFair
- + Traditional RoguelikeFair
- + DetectiveFair
- + Word GameFair
- + TypingFair
- + IdlerFair
- + LogicFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Precision PlatformerFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + TrainsPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | 暖雪 Warm Snow | older | $17.99 | 35,270 92% | 1.1M | $19M (exactly $19,035,219) | BadMudStudio |
| | Realm of Ink | $24.99 | 5,007 90% | 150k | $3.8M (exactly $3,753,748) | Leap Studio | |
| | 天外武林 (Traveler of Wuxia) | older | $24.99 | 3,151 85% | 95k | $2.4M (exactly $2,362,305) | 香港商河洛互動娛樂股份有限公司 |
| | Killer Bean | · EA | $14.99 | 2,272 73% | 68k | $1.0M (exactly $1,021,718) | Killer Bean Studios LLC |
| | KIBORG | $24.99 | 1,221 84% | 37k | $915k (exactly $915,384) | Sobaka Studio | |
| | Cultivation Story: Reincarnation | older | $9.99 | 1,994 92% | 60k | $598k (exactly $597,602) | Chi Entertainment Corp. |
| | Poetry of Blood: Eclipse | · EA | $14.99 | 406 91% | 12k | $183k (exactly $182,578) | ZeroGameStudio |
| | Journey to the West Survivor | older | $5.99 | 379 78% | 11k | $68k (exactly $68,106) | Buding Games |
| | Murim Survival | $7.99 | 264 75% | 7.9k | $63k (exactly $63,281) | Sunwood Games | |
| | Spartan Fist | older | $14.99 | 33 63% | 990 | $15k (exactly $14,840) | Glass Bottom Games |
| | Zodiac Mountain | · EA | $12.99 | 12 91% | 360 | $4.7k (exactly $4,676) | Mystic Road |
| | Ironblood | · EA | $19.99 | 7 71% | 210 | $4.2k (exactly $4,198) | Jack Wilds |
| | Boundless AI Fantasy | $9.99 | 8 87% | 240 | $2.4k (exactly $2,398) | João Vitor Andrioli de Souza | |
| | The Long Way Up | · EA | $5.99 | 10 90% | 300 | $1.8k (exactly $1,797) | Flytel |
| | 懒人也江湖 | · EA | $4.99 | 7 57% | 210 | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) | 恒睿游戏 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.